Wyoming Pronghorn Area 86 Type 1 Draw Odds
Pronghorn hunt area 086, type 1 (any antelope, as WGFD labels it). Jump to resident odds or nonresident odds.
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| Fact | Value |
|---|---|
| Hunt | Pronghorn, Area 86 Type 1: any antelope |
| 2026 resident quota / first-choice applicants | 8 / 33 |
| 2026 resident simple odds (random draw) | 24.2% |
| 2026 nonresident regular quota: preference pool / random pool | 2 / 0 |
| 2026 nonresident special quota: preference pool / random pool | 1 / 0 |
| 2026 nonresident regular: preference cut | 4 pts (all drew at that level) |
| 2026 nonresident special: preference cut | no applicants |
Resident odds (2026 draw)
Wyoming residents draw pronghorn licenses by random draw; preference points do not apply to residents for this species, so every resident applicant has the same chance. Simple odds are quota divided by first-choice applicants (second and third choices only pick up what is left).
| Draw year | Resident quota | 1st-choice applicants | Simple odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 7 | 100 | 7.0% |
| 2026 | 8 | 33 | 24.2% |
Resident outlook for 2027
Resident odds moved +17.2 percentage points a year on average from 2023 to 2026. If quota and demand follow that line, 2027 odds land near 41%.
Nonresident odds by preference point (2026 draw)
For nonresidents WGFD sets aside most licenses for a preference-point draw and the rest for a random draw that also takes everyone who missed in the point draw. The first odds column is WGFD's published first-choice success rate at each level; the second adds our simple random-draw estimate (random quota over first-choice random applicants). Rows marked < are party applications whose averaged points fall between two levels.
Regular license
| Your points | 1st-choice applicants | Preference draw odds (WGFD) | With random draw added (est.) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 1 | 100.0% | 100.0% |
| 4 | 1 | 100.0% | 100.0% |
| < 4 | 1 | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Forecast for 2027: Not enough years of data for a forecast.
Special license (higher fee, separate quota)
| Your points | 1st-choice applicants | Preference draw odds (WGFD) | With random draw added (est.) |
|---|
Forecast for 2027: Not enough years of data for a forecast.
History
| Draw year | NR regular cut | NR special cut | NR random odds (regular) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | no preference quota | no preference quota | 0.0% |
| 2026 | 4 pts (all drew at that level) | no applicants | 0.0% |
Forecast method: how we forecast point creep. It is a trend line, not a promise.
Notes from TagCanyon
In 2026, 33 residents listed this hunt first for 8 resident licenses.
Deadline
Applications open Jan 2 and close Jun 1 on WGFD's current dates table (results in mid-June). Confirm the 2027 dates on WGFD's page. WGFD application dates.
Source: Wyoming Game and Fish Department (WGFD), 2026 Demand Reports (WGFD draw results and odds). Tables, forecasts and text are TagCanyon's own. Not affiliated with WGFD. Retrieved Oct 17, 2026.
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