Texas Loyalty Points, Explained with Numbers
Texas cubes loyalty points: 2 points count as 8 entries, 10 points as 1,000.
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[Original explainer placeholder, written by us.] Facts used: one point per season per category at application; average points for group applications, rounded half up; points reset in that category when drawn; no points in E-Postcard or USFS deer categories.
Example: 5,000 applicants for 25 permits
| Points | Entries | Modeled chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | 0.01% |
| 2 | 8 | 0.07% |
| 3 | 27 | 0.24% |
| 4 | 64 | 0.57% |
| 5 | 125 | 1.10% |
| 6 | 216 | 1.90% |
| 8 | 512 | 4.44% |
| 10 | 1,000 | 8.49% |
| 12 | 1,728 | 14.21% |
| 15 | 3,375 | 25.87% |
| 20 | 8,000 | 50.82% |
Model assumptions: point holdings follow a geometric mix averaging about 2.5 points, because TPWD does not publish point counts by hunt. This will be replaced with real counts if an open-records request is approved.
Rule source: TPWD Loyalty Points.
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