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Pronghorn buck standing in golden evening grass on Seedskadee National Wildlife Refuge, Wyoming

Wyoming Pronghorn Area 82 Type 1 Draw Odds

Pronghorn hunt area 082, type 1 (any antelope, as WGFD labels it). Jump to resident odds or nonresident odds.

Photo: U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service (USFWS Mountain-Prairie), public domain. Photo credits

FactValue
HuntPronghorn, Area 82 Type 1: any antelope
2026 resident quota / first-choice applicants135 / 443
2026 resident simple odds (random draw)30.5%
2026 nonresident regular quota: preference pool / random pool12 / 3
2026 nonresident special quota: preference pool / random pool9 / 2
2026 nonresident regular: preference cut8 pts (17% drew at that level)
2026 nonresident special: preference cut< 6 pts (44% drew at that level)

Resident odds (2026 draw)

Wyoming residents draw pronghorn licenses by random draw; preference points do not apply to residents for this species, so every resident applicant has the same chance. Simple odds are quota divided by first-choice applicants (second and third choices only pick up what is left).

Draw yearResident quota1st-choice applicantsSimple odds
202313441532.3%
202413440433.2%
202513244629.6%
202613544330.5%

Resident outlook for 2027

Resident odds moved -0.6 percentage points a year on average from 2023 to 2026. If quota and demand follow that line, 2027 odds land near 30%.

Nonresident odds by preference point (2026 draw)

For nonresidents WGFD sets aside most licenses for a preference-point draw and the rest for a random draw that also takes everyone who missed in the point draw. The first odds column is WGFD's published first-choice success rate at each level; the second adds our simple random-draw estimate (random quota over first-choice random applicants). Rows marked < are party applications whose averaged points fall between two levels.

Regular license

Your points1st-choice applicantsPreference draw odds (WGFD)With random draw added (est.)
910100.0%100.0%
81216.7%18.0%
< 81850.0%1.5%

Forecast for 2027: About 9 preference points is where the draw is likely to cut off next year, so applicants at 10 or more are likely to draw on first choice. Point creep has averaged +0.98 points a year (2023 to 2026). Confidence: medium.

Special license (higher fee, separate quota)

Your points1st-choice applicantsPreference draw odds (WGFD)With random draw added (est.)
71100.0%100.0%
< 72100.0%100.0%
62100.0%100.0%
< 6944.4%47.4%
<= 5340.0%5.3%

Forecast for 2027: About 7 preference points is where the draw is likely to cut off next year, so applicants at 8 or more are likely to draw on first choice. Point creep has averaged +1.58 points a year (2023 to 2026). Confidence: medium.

History

Draw yearNR regular cutNR special cutNR random odds (regular)
20235 pts (12% drew at that level)1 pts (67% drew at that level)4.7%
2024< 7 pts (40% drew at that level)< 3 pts (all drew at that level)2.0%
2025< 7 pts (50% drew at that level)3 pts (75% drew at that level)2.7%
20268 pts (17% drew at that level)< 6 pts (44% drew at that level)1.5%

Forecast method: how we forecast point creep. It is a trend line, not a promise.

Notes from TagCanyon

In 2026, 443 residents listed this hunt first for 135 resident licenses. The nonresident regular points-to-draw index went from 5.9 in 2023 to 8.8 in 2026.

Deadline

Applications open Jan 2 and close Jun 1 on WGFD's current dates table (results in mid-June). Confirm the 2027 dates on WGFD's page. WGFD application dates.

Source: Wyoming Game and Fish Department (WGFD), 2026 Demand Reports (WGFD draw results and odds). Tables, forecasts and text are TagCanyon's own. Not affiliated with WGFD. Retrieved Oct 17, 2026.