Pronghorn buck standing in golden evening grass on Seedskadee National Wildlife Refuge, Wyoming

Wyoming Pronghorn Area 81 Type 1 Draw Odds

Pronghorn hunt area 081, type 1 (any antelope, as WGFD labels it). Jump to resident odds or nonresident odds.

Photo: U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service (USFWS Mountain-Prairie), public domain. Photo credits

Fact	Value
Hunt	Pronghorn, Area 81 Type 1: any antelope
2026 resident quota / first-choice applicants	135 / 755
2026 resident simple odds (random draw)	17.9%
2026 nonresident regular quota: preference pool / random pool	15 / 5
2026 nonresident special quota: preference pool / random pool	11 / 3
2026 nonresident regular: preference cut	< 9 pts (83% drew at that level)
2026 nonresident special: preference cut	5 pts (25% drew at that level)

Resident odds (2026 draw)

Wyoming residents draw pronghorn licenses by random draw; preference points do not apply to residents for this species, so every resident applicant has the same chance. Simple odds are quota divided by first-choice applicants (second and third choices only pick up what is left).

Draw year	Resident quota	1st-choice applicants	Simple odds
2023	155	824	18.8%
2024	136	834	16.3%
2025	134	746	18.0%
2026	135	755	17.9%

Resident outlook for 2027

Resident odds moved -0.3 percentage points a year on average from 2023 to 2026. If quota and demand follow that line, 2027 odds land near 18%.

Nonresident odds by preference point (2026 draw)

For nonresidents WGFD sets aside most licenses for a preference-point draw and the rest for a random draw that also takes everyone who missed in the point draw. The first odds column is WGFD's published first-choice success rate at each level; the second adds our simple random-draw estimate (random quota over first-choice random applicants). Rows marked < are party applications whose averaged points fall between two levels.

Regular license

Your points	1st-choice applicants	Preference draw odds (WGFD)	With random draw added (est.)
< 12	3	100.0%	100.0%
10	1	100.0%	100.0%
< 10	2	100.0%	100.0%
9	4	100.0%	100.0%
< 9	6	83.3%	83.9%
<= 8	152	0.0%	3.3%

Forecast for 2027: About 9 preference points is where the draw is likely to cut off next year, so applicants at 10 or more are likely to draw on first choice. Point creep has averaged +0.89 points a year (2023 to 2026). Confidence: medium.

Special license (higher fee, separate quota)

Your points	1st-choice applicants	Preference draw odds (WGFD)	With random draw added (est.)
7	2	100.0%	100.0%
< 7	5	100.0%	100.0%
6	3	100.0%	100.0%
5	4	25.0%	33.3%
< 5	25	0.0%	11.1%

Forecast for 2027: About 5 preference points is where the draw is likely to cut off next year, so applicants at 6 or more are likely to draw on first choice. Point creep has averaged +0.12 points a year (2023 to 2026). Confidence: medium.

History

Draw year	NR regular cut	NR special cut	NR random odds (regular)
2023	6 pts (all drew at that level)	< 5 pts (12% drew at that level)	3.7%
2024	7 pts (50% drew at that level)	5 pts (all drew at that level)	2.3%
2025	< 8 pts (89% drew at that level)	3 pts (all drew at that level)	2.5%
2026	< 9 pts (83% drew at that level)	5 pts (25% drew at that level)	3.3%

Forecast method: how we forecast point creep. It is a trend line, not a promise.

Notes from TagCanyon

In 2026, 755 residents listed this hunt first for 135 resident licenses. The nonresident regular points-to-draw index went from 6.0 in 2023 to 8.7 in 2026.

Deadline

Applications open Jan 2 and close Jun 1 on WGFD's current dates table (results in mid-June). Confirm the 2027 dates on WGFD's page. WGFD application dates.

Source: Wyoming Game and Fish Department (WGFD), 2026 Demand Reports (WGFD draw results and odds). Tables, forecasts and text are TagCanyon's own. Not affiliated with WGFD. Retrieved Oct 17, 2026.