Pronghorn buck standing in golden evening grass on Seedskadee National Wildlife Refuge, Wyoming

Wyoming Pronghorn Area 46 Type 1 Draw Odds

Pronghorn hunt area 046, type 1 (any antelope, as WGFD labels it). Jump to resident odds or nonresident odds.

Photo: U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service (USFWS Mountain-Prairie), public domain. Photo credits

Fact	Value
Hunt	Pronghorn, Area 46 Type 1: any antelope
2026 resident quota / first-choice applicants	115 / 218
2026 resident simple odds (random draw)	52.8%
2026 nonresident regular quota: preference pool / random pool	13 / 4
2026 nonresident special quota: preference pool / random pool	9 / 3
2026 nonresident regular: preference cut	7 pts (91% drew at that level)
2026 nonresident special: preference cut	2 pts (83% drew at that level)

Resident odds (2026 draw)

Wyoming residents draw pronghorn licenses by random draw; preference points do not apply to residents for this species, so every resident applicant has the same chance. Simple odds are quota divided by first-choice applicants (second and third choices only pick up what is left).

Draw year	Resident quota	1st-choice applicants	Simple odds
2023	76	83	91.6%
2024	75	131	57.3%
2025	117	111	100.0%
2026	115	218	52.8%

Resident outlook for 2027

Resident odds moved -12.9 percentage points a year on average from 2023 to 2026. If quota and demand follow that line, 2027 odds land near 40%.

Nonresident odds by preference point (2026 draw)

For nonresidents WGFD sets aside most licenses for a preference-point draw and the rest for a random draw that also takes everyone who missed in the point draw. The first odds column is WGFD's published first-choice success rate at each level; the second adds our simple random-draw estimate (random quota over first-choice random applicants). Rows marked < are party applications whose averaged points fall between two levels.

Regular license

Your points	1st-choice applicants	Preference draw odds (WGFD)	With random draw added (est.)
8	3	100.0%	100.0%
7	11	90.9%	91.1%
< 7	189	0.0%	2.1%

Forecast for 2027: About 7 preference points is where the draw is likely to cut off next year, so applicants at 8 or more are likely to draw on first choice. Point creep has averaged +0.74 points a year (2023 to 2026). Confidence: medium.

Special license (higher fee, separate quota)

Your points	1st-choice applicants	Preference draw odds (WGFD)	With random draw added (est.)
6	1	100.0%	100.0%
5	1	100.0%	100.0%
3	2	100.0%	100.0%
2	6	83.3%	85.1%
< 2	28	0.0%	10.7%

Forecast for 2027: About 1 preference points is where the draw is likely to cut off next year, so applicants at 2 or more are likely to draw on first choice. Point creep has averaged -0.61 points a year (2023 to 2026). Confidence: low.

History

Draw year	NR regular cut	NR special cut	NR random odds (regular)
2023	4 pts (12% drew at that level)	< 4 pts (50% drew at that level)	2.8%
2024	6 pts (29% drew at that level)	4 pts (14% drew at that level)	2.3%
2025	5 pts (40% drew at that level)	every applicant drew	8.3%
2026	7 pts (91% drew at that level)	2 pts (83% drew at that level)	2.1%

Forecast method: how we forecast point creep. It is a trend line, not a promise.

Notes from TagCanyon

In 2026, 218 residents listed this hunt first for 115 resident licenses. The nonresident regular points-to-draw index went from 4.9 in 2023 to 7.1 in 2026.

Deadline

Applications open Jan 2 and close Jun 1 on WGFD's current dates table (results in mid-June). Confirm the 2027 dates on WGFD's page. WGFD application dates.

Source: Wyoming Game and Fish Department (WGFD), 2026 Demand Reports (WGFD draw results and odds). Tables, forecasts and text are TagCanyon's own. Not affiliated with WGFD. Retrieved Oct 17, 2026.