Pronghorn buck standing in golden evening grass on Seedskadee National Wildlife Refuge, Wyoming

Wyoming Pronghorn Area 38 Type 2 Draw Odds

Pronghorn hunt area 038, type 2 (any antelope south, as WGFD labels it). Jump to resident odds or nonresident odds.

Photo: U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service (USFWS Mountain-Prairie), public domain. Photo credits

Fact	Value
Hunt	Pronghorn, Area 38 Type 2: any antelope south
2026 resident quota / first-choice applicants	235 / 347
2026 resident simple odds (random draw)	67.7%
2026 nonresident regular quota: preference pool / random pool	27 / 8
2026 nonresident special quota: preference pool / random pool	18 / 6
2026 nonresident regular: preference cut	5 pts (96% drew at that level)
2026 nonresident special: preference cut	4 pts (50% drew at that level)

Resident odds (2026 draw)

Wyoming residents draw pronghorn licenses by random draw; preference points do not apply to residents for this species, so every resident applicant has the same chance. Simple odds are quota divided by first-choice applicants (second and third choices only pick up what is left).

Draw year	Resident quota	1st-choice applicants	Simple odds
2023	313	276	100.0%
2024	234	311	75.2%
2025	235	266	88.3%
2026	235	347	67.7%

Resident outlook for 2027

Resident odds moved -10.8 percentage points a year on average from 2023 to 2026. If quota and demand follow that line, 2027 odds land near 57%.

Nonresident odds by preference point (2026 draw)

For nonresidents WGFD sets aside most licenses for a preference-point draw and the rest for a random draw that also takes everyone who missed in the point draw. The first odds column is WGFD's published first-choice success rate at each level; the second adds our simple random-draw estimate (random quota over first-choice random applicants). Rows marked < are party applications whose averaged points fall between two levels.

Regular license

Your points	1st-choice applicants	Preference draw odds (WGFD)	With random draw added (est.)
6	3	100.0%	100.0%
< 6	2	100.0%	100.0%
5	23	95.7%	96.1%
< 5	85	0.0%	9.3%

Forecast for 2027: About 5 preference points is where the draw is likely to cut off next year, so applicants at 6 or more are likely to draw on first choice. Point creep has averaged +0.70 points a year (2023 to 2026). Confidence: medium.

Special license (higher fee, separate quota)

Your points	1st-choice applicants	Preference draw odds (WGFD)	With random draw added (est.)
< 6	4	100.0%	100.0%
< 5	10	100.0%	100.0%
4	8	50.0%	71.4%
< 4	10	0.0%	42.9%

Forecast for 2027: About 5 preference points is where the draw is likely to cut off next year, so applicants at 6 or more are likely to draw on first choice. Point creep has averaged +0.51 points a year (2023 to 2026). Confidence: medium.

History

Draw year	NR regular cut	NR special cut	NR random odds (regular)
2023	2 pts (7% drew at that level)	< 3 pts (52% drew at that level)	15.3%
2024	4 pts (72% drew at that level)	3 pts (all drew at that level)	7.1%
2025	4 pts (40% drew at that level)	< 4 pts (all drew at that level)	8.8%
2026	5 pts (96% drew at that level)	4 pts (50% drew at that level)	9.3%

Forecast method: how we forecast point creep. It is a trend line, not a promise.

Notes from TagCanyon

In 2026, 347 residents listed this hunt first for 235 resident licenses. The nonresident regular points-to-draw index went from 2.9 in 2023 to 5.0 in 2026.

Deadline

Applications open Jan 2 and close Jun 1 on WGFD's current dates table (results in mid-June). Confirm the 2027 dates on WGFD's page. WGFD application dates.

Source: Wyoming Game and Fish Department (WGFD), 2026 Demand Reports (WGFD draw results and odds). Tables, forecasts and text are TagCanyon's own. Not affiliated with WGFD. Retrieved Oct 17, 2026.