Pronghorn buck standing in golden evening grass on Seedskadee National Wildlife Refuge, Wyoming

Wyoming Pronghorn Area 25 Type 1 Draw Odds

Pronghorn hunt area 025, type 1 (any antelope, as WGFD labels it). Jump to resident odds or nonresident odds.

Photo: U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service (USFWS Mountain-Prairie), public domain. Photo credits

Fact	Value
Hunt	Pronghorn, Area 25 Type 1: any antelope
2026 resident quota / first-choice applicants	476 / 253
2026 resident simple odds (random draw)	100.0%
2026 nonresident regular quota: preference pool / random pool	57 / 18
2026 nonresident special quota: preference pool / random pool	39 / 12
2026 nonresident regular: preference cut	< 5 pts (14% drew at that level)
2026 nonresident special: preference cut	1 pts (15% drew at that level)

Resident odds (2026 draw)

Wyoming residents draw pronghorn licenses by random draw; preference points do not apply to residents for this species, so every resident applicant has the same chance. Simple odds are quota divided by first-choice applicants (second and third choices only pick up what is left).

Draw year	Resident quota	1st-choice applicants	Simple odds
2023	396	202	100.0%
2024	435	224	100.0%
2025	436	253	100.0%
2026	476	253	100.0%

Resident outlook for 2027

Resident odds moved +0.0 percentage points a year on average from 2023 to 2026. If quota and demand follow that line, 2027 odds land near 100%.

Nonresident odds by preference point (2026 draw)

For nonresidents WGFD sets aside most licenses for a preference-point draw and the rest for a random draw that also takes everyone who missed in the point draw. The first odds column is WGFD's published first-choice success rate at each level; the second adds our simple random-draw estimate (random quota over first-choice random applicants). Rows marked < are party applications whose averaged points fall between two levels.

Regular license

Your points	1st-choice applicants	Preference draw odds (WGFD)	With random draw added (est.)
8	1	100.0%	100.0%
< 8	2	100.0%	100.0%
7	7	100.0%	100.0%
6	7	100.0%	100.0%
< 6	10	100.0%	100.0%
5	26	100.0%	100.0%
< 5	29	13.8%	20.8%
<= 4	197	0.0%	8.1%

Forecast for 2027: About 6 preference points is where the draw is likely to cut off next year, so applicants at 7 or more are likely to draw on first choice. Point creep has averaged +0.89 points a year (2023 to 2026). Confidence: medium.

Special license (higher fee, separate quota)

Your points	1st-choice applicants	Preference draw odds (WGFD)	With random draw added (est.)
< 5	3	100.0%	100.0%
4	2	100.0%	100.0%
< 4	6	100.0%	100.0%
3	2	100.0%	100.0%
< 3	8	100.0%	100.0%
2	9	100.0%	100.0%
< 2	7	100.0%	100.0%
1	13	15.4%	39.6%
< 1	32	0.0%	28.6%

Forecast for 2027: About 1 preference points is where the draw is likely to cut off next year, so applicants at 2 or more are likely to draw on first choice. Point creep has averaged +0.05 points a year (2023 to 2026). Confidence: medium.

History

Draw year	NR regular cut	NR special cut	NR random odds (regular)
2023	< 3 pts (81% drew at that level)	< 2 pts (80% drew at that level)	9.7%
2024	3 pts (24% drew at that level)	every applicant drew	10.2%
2025	4 pts (32% drew at that level)	0 pts (10% drew at that level)	7.3%
2026	< 5 pts (14% drew at that level)	1 pts (15% drew at that level)	8.1%

Forecast method: how we forecast point creep. It is a trend line, not a promise.

Notes from TagCanyon

In 2026, 253 residents listed this hunt first for 476 resident licenses. The nonresident regular points-to-draw index went from 2.7 in 2023 to 5.4 in 2026.

Deadline

Applications open Jan 2 and close Jun 1 on WGFD's current dates table (results in mid-June). Confirm the 2027 dates on WGFD's page. WGFD application dates.

Source: Wyoming Game and Fish Department (WGFD), 2026 Demand Reports (WGFD draw results and odds). Tables, forecasts and text are TagCanyon's own. Not affiliated with WGFD. Retrieved Oct 17, 2026.