Wyoming Pronghorn Area 2 Type 1 Draw Odds

Pronghorn hunt area 002, type 1 (any antelope, as WGFD labels it). Jump to resident odds or nonresident odds.

Fact	Value
Hunt	Pronghorn, Area 2 Type 1: any antelope
2026 resident quota / first-choice applicants	97 / 59
2026 resident simple odds (random draw)	100.0%
2026 nonresident regular quota: preference pool / random pool	24 / 8
2026 nonresident special quota: preference pool / random pool	15 / 5
2026 nonresident regular: preference cut	2 pts (57% drew at that level)
2026 nonresident special: preference cut	0 pts (85% drew at that level)

Resident odds (2026 draw)

Wyoming residents draw pronghorn licenses by random draw; preference points do not apply to residents for this species, so every resident applicant has the same chance. Simple odds are quota divided by first-choice applicants (second and third choices only pick up what is left).

Draw year	Resident quota	1st-choice applicants	Simple odds
2023	118	47	100.0%
2024	117	48	100.0%
2025	117	47	100.0%
2026	97	59	100.0%

Resident outlook for 2027

Resident odds moved +0.0 percentage points a year on average from 2023 to 2026. If quota and demand follow that line, 2027 odds land near 100%.

Nonresident odds by preference point (2026 draw)

For nonresidents WGFD sets aside most licenses for a preference-point draw and the rest for a random draw that also takes everyone who missed in the point draw. The first odds column is WGFD's published first-choice success rate at each level; the second adds our simple random-draw estimate (random quota over first-choice random applicants). Rows marked < are party applications whose averaged points fall between two levels.

Regular license

Your points	1st-choice applicants	Preference draw odds (WGFD)	With random draw added (est.)
4	3	100.0%	100.0%
3	5	100.0%	100.0%
2	28	57.1%	59.7%
< 2	123	0.0%	6.0%

Forecast for 2027: About 2 preference points is where the draw is likely to cut off next year, so applicants at 3 or more are likely to draw on first choice. Point creep has averaged +0.35 points a year (2023 to 2026). Confidence: medium.

Special license (higher fee, separate quota)

Your points	1st-choice applicants	Preference draw odds (WGFD)	With random draw added (est.)
2	2	100.0%	100.0%
1	2	100.0%	100.0%
0	13	84.6%	100.0%

Forecast for 2027: About 0 preference points is where the draw is likely to cut off next year, so applicants at 1 or more are likely to draw on first choice. Point creep has averaged -0.06 points a year (2023 to 2026). Confidence: medium.

History

Draw year	NR regular cut	NR special cut	NR random odds (regular)
2023	1 pts (62% drew at that level)	0 pts (67% drew at that level)	16.9%
2024	1 pts (72% drew at that level)	every applicant drew	22.3%
2025	1 pts (23% drew at that level)	every applicant drew	16.7%
2026	2 pts (57% drew at that level)	0 pts (85% drew at that level)	6.0%

Forecast method: how we forecast point creep. It is a trend line, not a promise.

Notes from TagCanyon

In 2026, 59 residents listed this hunt first for 97 resident licenses. The nonresident regular points-to-draw index went from 1.4 in 2023 to 2.4 in 2026.

Deadline

Applications open Jan 2 and close Jun 1 on WGFD's current dates table (results in mid-June). Confirm the 2027 dates on WGFD's page. WGFD application dates.

Source: Wyoming Game and Fish Department (WGFD), 2026 Demand Reports (WGFD draw results and odds). Tables, forecasts and text are TagCanyon's own. Not affiliated with WGFD. Retrieved Oct 17, 2026.