Pronghorn buck standing in golden evening grass on Seedskadee National Wildlife Refuge, Wyoming

Wyoming Pronghorn Area 15 Type 1 Draw Odds

Pronghorn hunt area 015, type 1 (any antelope, as WGFD labels it). Jump to resident odds or nonresident odds.

Photo: U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service (USFWS Mountain-Prairie), public domain. Photo credits

Fact	Value
Hunt	Pronghorn, Area 15 Type 1: any antelope
2026 resident quota / first-choice applicants	278 / 177
2026 resident simple odds (random draw)	100.0%
2026 nonresident regular quota: preference pool / random pool	51 / 17
2026 nonresident special quota: preference pool / random pool	35 / 11
2026 nonresident regular: preference cut	2 pts (37% drew at that level)
2026 nonresident special: preference cut	0 pts (5% drew at that level)

Resident odds (2026 draw)

Wyoming residents draw pronghorn licenses by random draw; preference points do not apply to residents for this species, so every resident applicant has the same chance. Simple odds are quota divided by first-choice applicants (second and third choices only pick up what is left).

Draw year	Resident quota	1st-choice applicants	Simple odds
2023	317	111	100.0%
2024	278	134	100.0%
2025	278	129	100.0%
2026	278	177	100.0%

Resident outlook for 2027

Resident odds moved +0.0 percentage points a year on average from 2023 to 2026. If quota and demand follow that line, 2027 odds land near 100%.

Nonresident odds by preference point (2026 draw)

For nonresidents WGFD sets aside most licenses for a preference-point draw and the rest for a random draw that also takes everyone who missed in the point draw. The first odds column is WGFD's published first-choice success rate at each level; the second adds our simple random-draw estimate (random quota over first-choice random applicants). Rows marked < are party applications whose averaged points fall between two levels.

Regular license

Your points	1st-choice applicants	Preference draw odds (WGFD)	With random draw added (est.)
9	1	100.0%	100.0%
5	6	100.0%	100.0%
< 5	2	100.0%	100.0%
4	11	100.0%	100.0%
< 4	2	100.0%	100.0%
3	10	100.0%	100.0%
< 3	8	100.0%	100.0%
2	30	36.7%	42.4%
< 2	170	0.0%	9.0%

Forecast for 2027: About 3 preference points is where the draw is likely to cut off next year, so applicants at 4 or more are likely to draw on first choice. Point creep has averaged +0.68 points a year (2023 to 2026). Confidence: medium.

Special license (higher fee, separate quota)

Your points	1st-choice applicants	Preference draw odds (WGFD)	With random draw added (est.)
2	1	100.0%	100.0%
1	2	100.0%	100.0%
< 1	31	100.0%	100.0%
0	21	4.8%	57.1%

Forecast for 2027: About 1 preference points is where the draw is likely to cut off next year, so applicants at 2 or more are likely to draw on first choice. Point creep has averaged +0.32 points a year (2023 to 2026). Confidence: medium.

History

Draw year	NR regular cut	NR special cut	NR random odds (regular)
2023	< 1 pts (90% drew at that level)	every applicant drew	41.1%
2024	1 pts (93% drew at that level)	every applicant drew	23.3%
2025	1 pts (22% drew at that level)	every applicant drew	22.0%
2026	2 pts (37% drew at that level)	0 pts (5% drew at that level)	9.0%

Forecast method: how we forecast point creep. It is a trend line, not a promise.

Notes from TagCanyon

In 2026, 177 residents listed this hunt first for 278 resident licenses. The nonresident regular points-to-draw index went from 0.6 in 2023 to 2.6 in 2026.

Deadline

Applications open Jan 2 and close Jun 1 on WGFD's current dates table (results in mid-June). Confirm the 2027 dates on WGFD's page. WGFD application dates.

Source: Wyoming Game and Fish Department (WGFD), 2026 Demand Reports (WGFD draw results and odds). Tables, forecasts and text are TagCanyon's own. Not affiliated with WGFD. Retrieved Oct 17, 2026.