Wyoming Elk Area 22 Type 6 Draw Odds
Elk hunt area 022, type 6 (cow or calf, as WGFD labels it). Jump to resident odds or nonresident odds.
Photo: National Park Service (GrandTetonNPS), public domain. Photo credits
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| Fact | Value |
|---|---|
| Hunt | Elk, Area 22 Type 6: cow or calf |
| 2026 resident quota / first-choice applicants | 84 / 193 |
| 2026 resident simple odds (random draw) | 43.5% |
| 2026 nonresident regular quota: preference pool / random pool | — / 16 |
| 2026 nonresident special quota: preference pool / random pool | — / — |
| 2026 nonresident regular: preference cut | no preference quota |
| 2026 nonresident special: preference cut | no preference quota |
Resident odds (2026 draw)
Wyoming residents draw elk licenses by random draw; preference points do not apply to residents for this species, so every resident applicant has the same chance. Simple odds are quota divided by first-choice applicants (second and third choices only pick up what is left).
| Draw year | Resident quota | 1st-choice applicants | Simple odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 42 | 116 | 36.2% |
| 2024 | 84 | 119 | 70.6% |
| 2025 | 84 | 213 | 39.4% |
| 2026 | 84 | 193 | 43.5% |
Resident outlook for 2027
Resident odds moved +2.4 percentage points a year on average from 2023 to 2026. If quota and demand follow that line, 2027 odds land near 46%.
Nonresident odds by preference point (2026 draw)
For nonresidents WGFD sets aside most licenses for a preference-point draw and the rest for a random draw that also takes everyone who missed in the point draw. The first odds column is WGFD's published first-choice success rate at each level; the second adds our simple random-draw estimate (random quota over first-choice random applicants). Rows marked < are party applications whose averaged points fall between two levels.
Regular license
No preference-point pool for this license class in the latest report.
Forecast for 2027: Not enough years of data for a forecast.
Special license (higher fee, separate quota)
No preference-point pool for this license class in the latest report.
Forecast for 2027: Not enough years of data for a forecast.
History
| Draw year | NR regular cut | NR special cut | NR random odds (regular) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | no preference quota | no preference quota | 23.5% |
| 2024 | no preference quota | no preference quota | 44.4% |
| 2025 | no preference quota | no preference quota | 20.5% |
| 2026 | no preference quota | no preference quota | 20.8% |
Forecast method: how we forecast point creep. It is a trend line, not a promise.
Notes from TagCanyon
In 2026, 193 residents listed this hunt first for 84 resident licenses. Nonresident elk applications close months before deer and antelope, so this hunt's reminder goes out in January.
Deadline
Nonresident elk: Jan 2 to Feb 2 on WGFD's current dates table (results in May). Confirm the 2027 close date on WGFD's page. Resident elk: Jan 2 to Jun 1. WGFD application dates.
Source: Wyoming Game and Fish Department (WGFD), 2026 Demand Reports (WGFD draw results and odds). Tables, forecasts and text are TagCanyon's own. Not affiliated with WGFD. Retrieved Oct 17, 2026.
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