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Mule deer buck with wide antlers grazing in grass on the National Elk Refuge, Wyoming

Wyoming Deer Area 36 Type 1 Draw Odds

Deer hunt area 036, type 1 (antlered mule deer …, as WGFD labels it). Jump to resident odds or nonresident odds.

Photo: U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service (USFWS Mountain Prairie), public domain. Photo credits

FactValue
HuntDeer, Area 36 Type 1: antlered mule deer …
2026 resident quota / first-choice applicants85 / 201
2026 resident simple odds (random draw)42.3%
2026 nonresident regular quota: preference pool / random pool12 / 3
2026 nonresident special quota: preference pool / random pool8 / 2
2026 nonresident regular: preference cut8 pts (all drew at that level)
2026 nonresident special: preference cut1 pts (33% drew at that level)

Resident odds (2026 draw)

Wyoming residents draw deer licenses by random draw; preference points do not apply to residents for this species, so every resident applicant has the same chance. Simple odds are quota divided by first-choice applicants (second and third choices only pick up what is left).

Draw yearResident quota1st-choice applicantsSimple odds
20235215034.7%
20244913636.0%
20256615542.6%
20268520142.3%

Resident outlook for 2027

Resident odds moved +2.5 percentage points a year on average from 2023 to 2026. If quota and demand follow that line, 2027 odds land near 45%.

Nonresident odds by preference point (2026 draw)

For nonresidents WGFD sets aside most licenses for a preference-point draw and the rest for a random draw that also takes everyone who missed in the point draw. The first odds column is WGFD's published first-choice success rate at each level; the second adds our simple random-draw estimate (random quota over first-choice random applicants). Rows marked < are party applications whose averaged points fall between two levels.

Regular license

Your points1st-choice applicantsPreference draw odds (WGFD)With random draw added (est.)
101100.0%100.0%
93100.0%100.0%
< 95100.0%100.0%
83100.0%100.0%
< 8610.0%4.9%

Forecast for 2027: About 8 preference points is where the draw is likely to cut off next year, so applicants at 9 or more are likely to draw on first choice. Point creep has averaged +0.33 points a year (2023 to 2026). Confidence: low.

Special license (higher fee, separate quota)

Your points1st-choice applicantsPreference draw odds (WGFD)With random draw added (est.)
51100.0%100.0%
< 52100.0%100.0%
31100.0%100.0%
23100.0%100.0%
1333.3%100.0%
< 110.0%100.0%

Forecast for 2027: About 1 preference points is where the draw is likely to cut off next year, so applicants at 2 or more are likely to draw on first choice. Point creep has averaged +0.00 points a year (2023 to 2026). Confidence: medium.

History

Draw yearNR regular cutNR special cutNR random odds (regular)
20237 pts (all drew at that level)1 pts (33% drew at that level)5.3%
20243 pts (75% drew at that level)every applicant drew6.5%
20255 pts (25% drew at that level)2 pts (50% drew at that level)4.9%
20268 pts (all drew at that level)1 pts (33% drew at that level)4.9%

Forecast method: how we forecast point creep. It is a trend line, not a promise.

Notes from TagCanyon

In 2026, 201 residents listed this hunt first for 85 resident licenses. The nonresident regular points-to-draw index went from 7.0 in 2023 to 8.0 in 2026.

Deadline

Applications open Jan 2 and close Jun 1 on WGFD's current dates table (results in mid-June). Confirm the 2027 dates on WGFD's page. WGFD application dates.

Source: Wyoming Game and Fish Department (WGFD), 2026 Demand Reports (WGFD draw results and odds). Tables, forecasts and text are TagCanyon's own. Not affiliated with WGFD. Retrieved Oct 17, 2026.