Wyoming Deer Area 22 Type 1 Draw Odds

Deer hunt area 022, type 1 (antlered mule deer …, as WGFD labels it). Jump to resident odds or nonresident odds.

Fact	Value
Hunt	Deer, Area 22 Type 1: antlered mule deer …
2026 resident quota / first-choice applicants	311 / 233
2026 resident simple odds (random draw)	100.0%
2026 nonresident regular quota: preference pool / random pool	35 / 11
2026 nonresident special quota: preference pool / random pool	24 / 7
2026 nonresident regular: preference cut	6 pts (38% drew at that level)
2026 nonresident special: preference cut	1 pts (36% drew at that level)

Resident odds (2026 draw)

Wyoming residents draw deer licenses by random draw; preference points do not apply to residents for this species, so every resident applicant has the same chance. Simple odds are quota divided by first-choice applicants (second and third choices only pick up what is left).

Draw year	Resident quota	1st-choice applicants	Simple odds
2023	308	266	100.0%
2024	115	247	46.6%
2025	117	249	47.0%
2026	311	233	100.0%

Resident outlook for 2027

Resident odds moved +0.0 percentage points a year on average from 2023 to 2026. If quota and demand follow that line, 2027 odds land near 100%.

Nonresident odds by preference point (2026 draw)

For nonresidents WGFD sets aside most licenses for a preference-point draw and the rest for a random draw that also takes everyone who missed in the point draw. The first odds column is WGFD's published first-choice success rate at each level; the second adds our simple random-draw estimate (random quota over first-choice random applicants). Rows marked < are party applications whose averaged points fall between two levels.

Regular license

Your points	1st-choice applicants	Preference draw odds (WGFD)	With random draw added (est.)
11	1	100.0%	100.0%
9	6	100.0%	100.0%
8	3	100.0%	100.0%
< 8	5	100.0%	100.0%
7	3	100.0%	100.0%
< 7	12	100.0%	100.0%
6	13	38.5%	43.3%
< 6	131	0.0%	7.9%

Forecast for 2027: About 7 preference points is where the draw is likely to cut off next year, so applicants at 8 or more are likely to draw on first choice. Point creep has averaged +0.84 points a year (2023 to 2026). Confidence: medium.

Special license (higher fee, separate quota)

Your points	1st-choice applicants	Preference draw odds (WGFD)	With random draw added (est.)
4	1	100.0%	100.0%
< 4	3	100.0%	100.0%
3	2	100.0%	100.0%
< 3	5	100.0%	100.0%
2	4	100.0%	100.0%
< 2	5	100.0%	100.0%
1	11	36.4%	68.2%
< 1	9	0.0%	50.0%

Forecast for 2027: About 1 preference points is where the draw is likely to cut off next year, so applicants at 2 or more are likely to draw on first choice. Point creep has averaged -0.35 points a year (2023 to 2026). Confidence: medium.

History

Draw year	NR regular cut	NR special cut	NR random odds (regular)
2023	< 4 pts (40% drew at that level)	2 pts (30% drew at that level)	10.2%
2024	5 pts (50% drew at that level)	3 pts (58% drew at that level)	2.7%
2025	6 pts (29% drew at that level)	2 pts (25% drew at that level)	2.7%
2026	6 pts (38% drew at that level)	1 pts (36% drew at that level)	7.9%

Forecast method: how we forecast point creep. It is a trend line, not a promise.

Notes from TagCanyon

In 2026, 233 residents listed this hunt first for 311 resident licenses. The nonresident regular points-to-draw index went from 4.1 in 2023 to 6.6 in 2026.

Deadline

Applications open Jan 2 and close Jun 1 on WGFD's current dates table (results in mid-June). Confirm the 2027 dates on WGFD's page. WGFD application dates.

Source: Wyoming Game and Fish Department (WGFD), 2026 Demand Reports (WGFD draw results and odds). Tables, forecasts and text are TagCanyon's own. Not affiliated with WGFD. Retrieved Oct 17, 2026.