Mule deer buck with wide antlers grazing in grass on the National Elk Refuge, Wyoming

Wyoming Deer Area 15 Type 3 Draw Odds

Deer hunt area 015, type 3 (any white-tailed …, as WGFD labels it). Jump to resident odds or nonresident odds.

Photo: U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service (USFWS Mountain Prairie), public domain. Photo credits

Fact	Value
Hunt	Deer, Area 15 Type 3: any white-tailed …
2026 resident quota / first-choice applicants	396 / 439
2026 resident simple odds (random draw)	90.2%
2026 nonresident regular quota: preference pool / random pool	72 / 24
2026 nonresident special quota: preference pool / random pool	30 / 10
2026 nonresident regular: preference cut	every applicant drew
2026 nonresident special: preference cut	every applicant drew

Resident odds (2026 draw)

Wyoming residents draw deer licenses by random draw; preference points do not apply to residents for this species, so every resident applicant has the same chance. Simple odds are quota divided by first-choice applicants (second and third choices only pick up what is left).

Draw year	Resident quota	1st-choice applicants	Simple odds
2023	399	511	78.1%
2024	397	443	89.6%
2025	397	504	78.8%
2026	396	439	90.2%

Resident outlook for 2027

Resident odds moved +4.0 percentage points a year on average from 2023 to 2026. If quota and demand follow that line, 2027 odds land near 94%.

Nonresident odds by preference point (2026 draw)

For nonresidents WGFD sets aside most licenses for a preference-point draw and the rest for a random draw that also takes everyone who missed in the point draw. The first odds column is WGFD's published first-choice success rate at each level; the second adds our simple random-draw estimate (random quota over first-choice random applicants). Rows marked < are party applications whose averaged points fall between two levels.

Regular license

Your points	1st-choice applicants	Preference draw odds (WGFD)	With random draw added (est.)
4	2	100.0%	—
3	1	100.0%	—
1	1	100.0%	—
0	54	100.0%	—

Forecast for 2027: The trend points to a hunt that draws without points next year if quota and demand hold.

Special license (higher fee, separate quota)

Your points	1st-choice applicants	Preference draw odds (WGFD)	With random draw added (est.)
0	4	100.0%	—

Forecast for 2027: The trend points to a hunt that draws without points next year if quota and demand hold.

History

Draw year	NR regular cut	NR special cut	NR random odds (regular)
2023	every applicant drew	every applicant drew	—
2024	every applicant drew	every applicant drew	—
2025	0 pts (97% drew at that level)	every applicant drew	100.0%
2026	every applicant drew	every applicant drew	—

Forecast method: how we forecast point creep. It is a trend line, not a promise.

Notes from TagCanyon

In 2026, 439 residents listed this hunt first for 396 resident licenses. The nonresident regular points-to-draw index went from 0.0 in 2023 to 0.0 in 2026.

Deadline

Applications open Jan 2 and close Jun 1 on WGFD's current dates table (results in mid-June). Confirm the 2027 dates on WGFD's page. WGFD application dates.

Source: Wyoming Game and Fish Department (WGFD), 2026 Demand Reports (WGFD draw results and odds). Tables, forecasts and text are TagCanyon's own. Not affiliated with WGFD. Retrieved Oct 17, 2026.