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Mule deer buck with wide antlers grazing in grass on the National Elk Refuge, Wyoming

Wyoming Deer Area 116 Type 3 Draw Odds

Deer hunt area 116, type 3 (any white-tailed …, as WGFD labels it). Jump to resident odds or nonresident odds.

Photo: U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service (USFWS Mountain Prairie), public domain. Photo credits

FactValue
HuntDeer, Area 116 Type 3: any white-tailed …
2026 resident quota / first-choice applicants78 / 190
2026 resident simple odds (random draw)41.1%
2026 nonresident regular quota: preference pool / random pool13 / 4
2026 nonresident special quota: preference pool / random pool6 / 2
2026 nonresident regular: preference cut0 pts (54% drew at that level)
2026 nonresident special: preference cutevery applicant drew

Resident odds (2026 draw)

Wyoming residents draw deer licenses by random draw; preference points do not apply to residents for this species, so every resident applicant has the same chance. Simple odds are quota divided by first-choice applicants (second and third choices only pick up what is left).

Draw yearResident quota1st-choice applicantsSimple odds
20237620337.4%
20247720936.8%
20257417941.3%
20267819041.1%

Resident outlook for 2027

Resident odds moved +1.2 percentage points a year on average from 2023 to 2026. If quota and demand follow that line, 2027 odds land near 42%.

Nonresident odds by preference point (2026 draw)

For nonresidents WGFD sets aside most licenses for a preference-point draw and the rest for a random draw that also takes everyone who missed in the point draw. The first odds column is WGFD's published first-choice success rate at each level; the second adds our simple random-draw estimate (random quota over first-choice random applicants). Rows marked < are party applications whose averaged points fall between two levels.

Regular license

Your points1st-choice applicantsPreference draw odds (WGFD)With random draw added (est.)
62100.0%100.0%
22100.0%100.0%
12100.0%100.0%
01353.8%84.6%

Forecast for 2027: About 0 preference points is where the draw is likely to cut off next year, so applicants at 1 or more are likely to draw on first choice. Point creep has averaged -0.18 points a year (2023 to 2026). Confidence: medium.

Special license (higher fee, separate quota)

Your points1st-choice applicantsPreference draw odds (WGFD)With random draw added (est.)
02100.0%—

Forecast for 2027: The trend points to a hunt that draws without points next year if quota and demand hold.

History

Draw yearNR regular cutNR special cutNR random odds (regular)
20231 pts (all drew at that level)< 1 pts (83% drew at that level)10.5%
20241 pts (83% drew at that level)every applicant drew33.3%
20250 pts (60% drew at that level)every applicant drew100.0%
20260 pts (54% drew at that level)every applicant drew66.7%

Forecast method: how we forecast point creep. It is a trend line, not a promise.

Notes from TagCanyon

In 2026, 190 residents listed this hunt first for 78 resident licenses. The nonresident regular points-to-draw index went from 1.0 in 2023 to 0.5 in 2026.

Deadline

Applications open Jan 2 and close Jun 1 on WGFD's current dates table (results in mid-June). Confirm the 2027 dates on WGFD's page. WGFD application dates.

Source: Wyoming Game and Fish Department (WGFD), 2026 Demand Reports (WGFD draw results and odds). Tables, forecasts and text are TagCanyon's own. Not affiliated with WGFD. Retrieved Oct 17, 2026.