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Bull elk with large antlers standing in golden sagebrush

799-00 Elk B License Draw Odds, Montana

Elk b license, district 799-00, from FWP's 2023 to 2026 drawing statistics. Jump to resident odds or nonresident odds.

Photo: National Park Service (GrandTetonNPS), public domain. Photo credits

FactValue
DrawingElk b license, district 799-00
2026 total quota600
2026 nonresident cap (FWP's NR quota column)60
2026 landowner preference cap: resident / nonresident90 / 60
2026 first-choice applicants: resident / nonresident1,584 / 250
2026 drawn on first choice: resident / nonresident527 / 56
2026 first-choice odds: resident / nonresident33.3% / 22.4%
2026 total successful (all choices and pools)600

Resident odds by bonus point (2026 drawing)

Share of first-choice resident applicants at each bonus-point level who drew, from FWP's 2026 bonus point report. Each applicant gets one chance plus their points squared, so the draw favors high point holders without a hard cutoff. How Montana bonus points work.

Bonus pointsChances in drawing1st-choice applicantsDrawnOdds at this level
013344914.7%
1266415122.7%
2539518847.6%
31014710068.0%
417373286.5%
52633100.0%
63722100.0%
75011100.0%
98211100.0%

Resident outlook for 2027

If first-choice demand keeps its 2023 to 2026 trend (+89 applicants a year), about 1,673 residents would apply in 2027; with the same number of first-choice licenses, overall first-choice odds would be about 31%. Average bonus points among first-choice applicants are trending to about 1.4 (+0.09 a year), a measure of point creep in a weighted draw. Confidence: medium.

Landowner preference (residents, 2026): 13 first-choice applicants, 13 drawn.

Nonresident odds by bonus point (2026 drawing)

Share of first-choice nonresident applicants at each bonus-point level who drew, from FWP's 2026 bonus point report. Each applicant gets one chance plus their points squared, so the draw favors high point holders without a hard cutoff. How Montana bonus points work.

Bonus pointsChances in drawing1st-choice applicantsDrawnOdds at this level
015711.8%
12951212.6%
25612439.3%
310251248.0%
41710550.0%
52622100.0%

Nonresident outlook for 2027

If first-choice demand keeps its 2023 to 2026 trend (+5 applicants a year), about 255 nonresidents would apply in 2027; with the same number of first-choice licenses, overall first-choice odds would be about 22%. Average bonus points among first-choice applicants are trending to about 1.4 (+0.06 a year), a measure of point creep in a weighted draw. Confidence: low.

Landowner preference (nonresidents, 2026): 4 first-choice applicants, 4 drawn.

First-choice odds by year

First-choice draws over first-choice applicants in the regular drawing (landowner preference excluded).

Draw yearQuotaRes applicantsRes oddsNR applicantsNR odds
20236001,31640.6%23423.9%
20246001,35339.2%19628.1%
20256001,47435.6%26721.7%
20266001,58433.3%25022.4%

Outlook method: see the top of the Montana points explainer and our forecast method. It is a trend line, not a promise.

Notes from TagCanyon

Deadline

Elk B, deer B, antelope and antelope B licenses: FWP's 2026 window ran Mar 1 to Jun 1, 2026 (11:45 p.m. Mountain). FWP has not posted 2027 dates yet; the June 1 deadline has held in recent years. FWP application and drawing dates.

Source: Montana Fish, Wildlife & Parks (FWP), 2026 Drawing Statistics reports (MyFWP drawing statistics, FWP application and drawing dates). Tables, outlooks and text are TagCanyon's own; FWP does not warrant or endorse them. Not affiliated with FWP. Retrieved Oct 17, 2026.