Bull elk with large antlers standing in golden sagebrush

702-20 Elk Permit Draw Odds, Montana

Elk permit, district 702-20, from FWP's 2026 to 2026 drawing statistics. Jump to resident odds or nonresident odds.

Photo: National Park Service (GrandTetonNPS), public domain. Photo credits

Fact	Value
Drawing	Elk permit, district 702-20
2026 total quota	150
2026 nonresident cap (FWP's NR quota column)	15
2026 landowner preference cap: resident / nonresident	23 / 15
2026 first-choice applicants: resident / nonresident	261 / 46
2026 drawn on first choice: resident / nonresident	119 / 12
2026 first-choice odds: resident / nonresident	45.6% / 26.1%
2026 total successful (all choices and pools)	150

Resident odds by bonus point (2026 drawing)

Share of first-choice resident applicants at each bonus-point level who drew, from FWP's 2026 bonus point report. Each applicant gets one chance plus their points squared, so the draw favors high point holders without a hard cutoff. How Montana bonus points work.

Bonus points	Chances in drawing	1st-choice applicants	Drawn	Odds at this level
0	1	48	3	6.2%
1	2	65	18	27.7%
2	5	39	15	38.5%
3	10	28	14	50.0%
4	17	33	27	81.8%
5	26	20	16	80.0%
6	37	6	6	100.0%
7	50	8	8	100.0%
8	65	8	6	75.0%
10	101	2	2	100.0%
11	122	1	1	100.0%
12	145	2	2	100.0%
15	226	1	1	100.0%

Resident outlook for 2027

Not enough resident first-choice applicants across the years for an outlook.

Landowner preference (residents, 2026): 16 first-choice applicants, 16 drawn.

Nonresident odds by bonus point (2026 drawing)

Share of first-choice nonresident applicants at each bonus-point level who drew, from FWP's 2026 bonus point report. Each applicant gets one chance plus their points squared, so the draw favors high point holders without a hard cutoff. How Montana bonus points work.

Bonus points	Chances in drawing	1st-choice applicants	Drawn	Odds at this level
0	1	4	0	0.0%
1	2	5	0	0.0%
2	5	3	0	0.0%
3	10	7	0	0.0%
4	17	5	0	0.0%
5	26	6	3	50.0%
6	37	4	3	75.0%
7	50	3	2	66.7%
8	65	4	2	50.0%
9	82	1	1	100.0%
10	101	2	0	0.0%
12	145	1	1	100.0%
14	197	1	0	0.0%

Nonresident outlook for 2027

Not enough nonresident first-choice applicants across the years for an outlook.

Landowner preference (nonresidents, 2026): 3 first-choice applicants, 3 drawn.

First-choice odds by year

First-choice draws over first-choice applicants in the regular drawing (landowner preference excluded).

Draw year	Quota	Res applicants	Res odds	NR applicants	NR odds
2026	150	261	45.6%	46	26.1%

Outlook method: see the top of the Montana points explainer and our forecast method. It is a trend line, not a promise.

Notes from TagCanyon

In 2026, 261 residents listed this drawing first for a quota of 150, about 1.7 resident applicants per license.
Residents: at 0 bonus points 6% drew; at 8 points (the highest level with at least 5 applicants) 75% drew.
Nonresidents: at 1 bonus points 0% drew; at 5 points (the highest level with at least 5 applicants) 50% drew.

Deadline

Deer and elk permits: FWP's 2026 window ran Mar 1 to Apr 1, 2026 (11:45 p.m. Mountain), with results in mid-April. FWP has not posted 2027 dates yet; the April 1 deadline has held in recent years. FWP application and drawing dates.

Source: Montana Fish, Wildlife & Parks (FWP), 2026 Drawing Statistics reports (MyFWP drawing statistics, FWP application and drawing dates). Tables, outlooks and text are TagCanyon's own; FWP does not warrant or endorse them. Not affiliated with FWP. Retrieved Oct 17, 2026.