Bull elk with large antlers standing in golden sagebrush

411-00 Elk B License Draw Odds, Montana

Elk b license, district 411-00, from FWP's 2023 to 2026 drawing statistics. Jump to resident odds or nonresident odds.

Photo: National Park Service (GrandTetonNPS), public domain. Photo credits

Fact	Value
Drawing	Elk b license, district 411-00
2026 total quota	1,200
2026 nonresident cap (FWP's NR quota column)	120
2026 landowner preference cap: resident / nonresident	180 / 120
2026 first-choice applicants: resident / nonresident	1,106 / 118
2026 drawn on first choice: resident / nonresident	1,076 / 112
2026 first-choice odds: resident / nonresident	97.3% / 94.9%
2026 total successful (all choices and pools)	1,200

Resident odds by bonus point (2026 drawing)

Share of first-choice resident applicants at each bonus-point level who drew, from FWP's 2026 bonus point report. Each applicant gets one chance plus their points squared, so the draw favors high point holders without a hard cutoff. How Montana bonus points work.

Bonus points	Chances in drawing	1st-choice applicants	Drawn	Odds at this level
0	1	506	479	94.7%
1	2	513	510	99.4%
2	5	48	48	100.0%
3	10	25	25	100.0%
4	17	5	5	100.0%
5	26	6	6	100.0%
6	37	1	1	100.0%
7	50	1	1	100.0%
8	65	1	1	100.0%

Resident outlook for 2027

If first-choice demand keeps its 2023 to 2026 trend (+83 applicants a year), about 1,189 residents would apply in 2027; with the same number of first-choice licenses, overall first-choice odds would be about 90%. Average bonus points among first-choice applicants are trending to about 0.7 (+0.03 a year), a measure of point creep in a weighted draw. Confidence: medium.

Landowner preference (residents, 2026): 5 first-choice applicants, 5 drawn.

Nonresident odds by bonus point (2026 drawing)

Share of first-choice nonresident applicants at each bonus-point level who drew, from FWP's 2026 bonus point report. Each applicant gets one chance plus their points squared, so the draw favors high point holders without a hard cutoff. How Montana bonus points work.

Bonus points	Chances in drawing	1st-choice applicants	Drawn	Odds at this level
0	1	46	40	87.0%
1	2	68	68	100.0%
2	5	2	2	100.0%
3	10	1	1	100.0%
4	17	1	1	100.0%

Nonresident outlook for 2027

If first-choice demand keeps its 2023 to 2026 trend (-5 applicants a year), about 113 nonresidents would apply in 2027; with the same number of first-choice licenses, overall first-choice odds would be about 99%. Average bonus points among first-choice applicants are trending to about 0.7 (+0.00 a year), a measure of point creep in a weighted draw. Confidence: medium.

Landowner preference (nonresidents, 2026): 7 first-choice applicants, 7 drawn.

First-choice odds by year

First-choice draws over first-choice applicants in the regular drawing (landowner preference excluded).

Draw year	Quota	Res applicants	Res odds	NR applicants	NR odds
2023	1,200	856	100.0%	132	90.2%
2024	1,200	943	100.0%	113	100.0%
2025	1,200	985	100.0%	119	99.2%
2026	1,200	1,106	97.3%	118	94.9%

Outlook method: see the top of the Montana points explainer and our forecast method. It is a trend line, not a promise.

Notes from TagCanyon

In 2026, 1,106 residents listed this drawing first for a quota of 1,200, about 0.9 resident applicants per license.
Residents: at 0 bonus points 95% drew; at 5 points (the highest level with at least 5 applicants) 100% drew.
Nonresidents: at 0 bonus points 87% drew; at 1 points (the highest level with at least 5 applicants) 100% drew.

Deadline

Elk B, deer B, antelope and antelope B licenses: FWP's 2026 window ran Mar 1 to Jun 1, 2026 (11:45 p.m. Mountain). FWP has not posted 2027 dates yet; the June 1 deadline has held in recent years. FWP application and drawing dates.

Source: Montana Fish, Wildlife & Parks (FWP), 2026 Drawing Statistics reports (MyFWP drawing statistics, FWP application and drawing dates). Tables, outlooks and text are TagCanyon's own; FWP does not warrant or endorse them. Not affiliated with FWP. Retrieved Oct 17, 2026.