270-02 Elk B License Draw Odds, Montana

Elk b license, district 270-02, from FWP's 2023 to 2026 drawing statistics. Jump to resident odds or nonresident odds.

Fact	Value
Drawing	Elk b license, district 270-02
2026 total quota	500
2026 nonresident cap (FWP's NR quota column)	50
2026 landowner preference cap: resident / nonresident	75 / 50
2026 first-choice applicants: resident / nonresident	2,147 / 207
2026 drawn on first choice: resident / nonresident	463 / 37
2026 first-choice odds: resident / nonresident	21.6% / 17.9%
2026 total successful (all choices and pools)	500

Resident odds by bonus point (2026 drawing)

Share of first-choice resident applicants at each bonus-point level who drew, from FWP's 2026 bonus point report. Each applicant gets one chance plus their points squared, so the draw favors high point holders without a hard cutoff. How Montana bonus points work.

Bonus points	Chances in drawing	1st-choice applicants	Drawn	Odds at this level
0	1	429	19	4.4%
1	2	670	78	11.6%
2	5	554	126	22.7%
3	10	317	131	41.3%
4	17	136	74	54.4%
5	26	35	29	82.9%
6	37	4	4	100.0%
7	50	2	2	100.0%

Resident outlook for 2027

If first-choice demand keeps its 2023 to 2026 trend (+142 applicants a year), about 2,289 residents would apply in 2027; with the same number of first-choice licenses, overall first-choice odds would be about 20%. Average bonus points among first-choice applicants are trending to about 1.7 (+0.09 a year), a measure of point creep in a weighted draw. Confidence: medium.

Nonresident odds by bonus point (2026 drawing)

Share of first-choice nonresident applicants at each bonus-point level who drew, from FWP's 2026 bonus point report. Each applicant gets one chance plus their points squared, so the draw favors high point holders without a hard cutoff. How Montana bonus points work.

Bonus points	Chances in drawing	1st-choice applicants	Drawn	Odds at this level
0	1	50	2	4.0%
1	2	80	8	10.0%
2	5	46	9	19.6%
3	10	17	11	64.7%
4	17	14	7	50.0%

Nonresident outlook for 2027

If first-choice demand keeps its 2023 to 2026 trend (+11 applicants a year), about 218 nonresidents would apply in 2027; with the same number of first-choice licenses, overall first-choice odds would be about 17%. Average bonus points among first-choice applicants are trending to about 1.4 (+0.04 a year), a measure of point creep in a weighted draw. Confidence: low.

First-choice odds by year

First-choice draws over first-choice applicants in the regular drawing (landowner preference excluded).

Draw year	Quota	Res applicants	Res odds	NR applicants	NR odds
2023	500	1,720	27.2%	175	18.3%
2024	500	1,797	26.0%	160	20.0%
2025	500	2,019	22.7%	231	17.7%
2026	500	2,147	21.6%	207	17.9%

Outlook method: see the top of the Montana points explainer and our forecast method. It is a trend line, not a promise.

Notes from TagCanyon

In 2026, 2,147 residents listed this drawing first for a quota of 500, about 4.3 resident applicants per license.
Residents: at 0 bonus points 4% drew; at 5 points (the highest level with at least 5 applicants) 83% drew.
Nonresidents: at 0 bonus points 4% drew; at 4 points (the highest level with at least 5 applicants) 50% drew.

Deadline

Elk B, deer B, antelope and antelope B licenses: FWP's 2026 window ran Mar 1 to Jun 1, 2026 (11:45 p.m. Mountain). FWP has not posted 2027 dates yet; the June 1 deadline has held in recent years. FWP application and drawing dates.

Source: Montana Fish, Wildlife & Parks (FWP), 2026 Drawing Statistics reports (MyFWP drawing statistics, FWP application and drawing dates). Tables, outlooks and text are TagCanyon's own; FWP does not warrant or endorse them. Not affiliated with FWP. Retrieved Oct 17, 2026.