Bull elk with large antlers standing in golden sagebrush

123-00 Elk B License Draw Odds, Montana

Elk b license, district 123-00, from FWP's 2023 to 2026 drawing statistics. Jump to resident odds or nonresident odds.

Photo: National Park Service (GrandTetonNPS), public domain. Photo credits

Fact	Value
Drawing	Elk b license, district 123-00
2026 total quota	25
2026 nonresident cap (FWP's NR quota column)	2
2026 landowner preference cap: resident / nonresident	4 / 2
2026 first-choice applicants: resident / nonresident	128 / 9
2026 drawn on first choice: resident / nonresident	24 / 1
2026 first-choice odds: resident / nonresident	18.8% / 11.1%
2026 total successful (all choices and pools)	25

Resident odds by bonus point (2026 drawing)

Share of first-choice resident applicants at each bonus-point level who drew, from FWP's 2026 bonus point report. Each applicant gets one chance plus their points squared, so the draw favors high point holders without a hard cutoff. How Montana bonus points work.

Bonus points	Chances in drawing	1st-choice applicants	Drawn	Odds at this level
0	1	37	0	0.0%
1	2	28	1	3.6%
2	5	17	1	5.9%
3	10	18	4	22.2%
4	17	13	7	53.8%
5	26	14	11	78.6%
6	37	1	0	0.0%

Resident outlook for 2027

If first-choice demand keeps its 2023 to 2026 trend (-28 applicants a year), about 100 residents would apply in 2027; with the same number of first-choice licenses, overall first-choice odds would be about 24%. Average bonus points among first-choice applicants are trending to about 2.0 (+0.14 a year), a measure of point creep in a weighted draw. Confidence: low.

Nonresident odds by bonus point (2026 drawing)

Share of first-choice nonresident applicants at each bonus-point level who drew, from FWP's 2026 bonus point report. Each applicant gets one chance plus their points squared, so the draw favors high point holders without a hard cutoff. How Montana bonus points work.

Bonus points	Chances in drawing	1st-choice applicants	Drawn	Odds at this level
0	1	1	0	0.0%
1	2	1	1	100.0%
3	10	2	0	0.0%
4	17	5	0	0.0%

Nonresident outlook for 2027

If first-choice demand keeps its 2023 to 2026 trend (-1 applicants a year), about 8 nonresidents would apply in 2027; with the same number of first-choice licenses, overall first-choice odds would be about 12%. Average bonus points among first-choice applicants are trending to about 3.7 (+0.73 a year), a measure of point creep in a weighted draw. Confidence: low.

First-choice odds by year

First-choice draws over first-choice applicants in the regular drawing (landowner preference excluded).

Draw year	Quota	Res applicants	Res odds	NR applicants	NR odds
2023	50	211	22.7%	11	18.2%
2024	25	236	10.6%	8	0.0%
2025	25	206	11.7%	11	9.1%
2026	25	128	18.8%	9	11.1%

Outlook method: see the top of the Montana points explainer and our forecast method. It is a trend line, not a promise.

Notes from TagCanyon

In 2026, 128 residents listed this drawing first for a quota of 25, about 5.1 resident applicants per license.
Residents: at 0 bonus points 0% drew; at 5 points (the highest level with at least 5 applicants) 79% drew.

Deadline

Elk B, deer B, antelope and antelope B licenses: FWP's 2026 window ran Mar 1 to Jun 1, 2026 (11:45 p.m. Mountain). FWP has not posted 2027 dates yet; the June 1 deadline has held in recent years. FWP application and drawing dates.

Source: Montana Fish, Wildlife & Parks (FWP), 2026 Drawing Statistics reports (MyFWP drawing statistics, FWP application and drawing dates). Tables, outlooks and text are TagCanyon's own; FWP does not warrant or endorse them. Not affiliated with FWP. Retrieved Oct 17, 2026.