Bull elk with large antlers standing in golden sagebrush

121-00 Elk B License Draw Odds, Montana

Elk b license, district 121-00, from FWP's 2023 to 2026 drawing statistics. Jump to resident odds or nonresident odds.

Photo: National Park Service (GrandTetonNPS), public domain. Photo credits

Fact	Value
Drawing	Elk b license, district 121-00
2026 total quota	150
2026 nonresident cap (FWP's NR quota column)	15
2026 landowner preference cap: resident / nonresident	23 / 15
2026 first-choice applicants: resident / nonresident	801 / 39
2026 drawn on first choice: resident / nonresident	142 / 7
2026 first-choice odds: resident / nonresident	17.7% / 17.9%
2026 total successful (all choices and pools)	150

Resident odds by bonus point (2026 drawing)

Share of first-choice resident applicants at each bonus-point level who drew, from FWP's 2026 bonus point report. Each applicant gets one chance plus their points squared, so the draw favors high point holders without a hard cutoff. How Montana bonus points work.

Bonus points	Chances in drawing	1st-choice applicants	Drawn	Odds at this level
0	1	203	4	2.0%
1	2	183	16	8.7%
2	5	155	22	14.2%
3	10	134	36	26.9%
4	17	80	36	45.0%
5	26	33	18	54.5%
6	37	11	9	81.8%
7	50	2	1	50.0%

Resident outlook for 2027

If first-choice demand keeps its 2023 to 2026 trend (-10 applicants a year), about 791 residents would apply in 2027; with the same number of first-choice licenses, overall first-choice odds would be about 18%. Average bonus points among first-choice applicants are trending to about 2.0 (+0.16 a year), a measure of point creep in a weighted draw. Confidence: medium.

Landowner preference (residents, 2026): 1 first-choice applicants, 1 drawn.

Nonresident odds by bonus point (2026 drawing)

Share of first-choice nonresident applicants at each bonus-point level who drew, from FWP's 2026 bonus point report. Each applicant gets one chance plus their points squared, so the draw favors high point holders without a hard cutoff. How Montana bonus points work.

Bonus points	Chances in drawing	1st-choice applicants	Drawn	Odds at this level
0	1	5	0	0.0%
1	2	15	2	13.3%
2	5	8	1	12.5%
3	10	10	3	30.0%
5	26	1	1	100.0%

Nonresident outlook for 2027

If first-choice demand keeps its 2023 to 2026 trend (-3 applicants a year), about 36 nonresidents would apply in 2027; with the same number of first-choice licenses, overall first-choice odds would be about 20%. Average bonus points among first-choice applicants are trending to about 1.8 (+0.06 a year), a measure of point creep in a weighted draw. Confidence: medium.

First-choice odds by year

First-choice draws over first-choice applicants in the regular drawing (landowner preference excluded).

Draw year	Quota	Res applicants	Res odds	NR applicants	NR odds
2023	150	830	16.1%	49	30.6%
2024	150	884	15.8%	49	16.3%
2025	150	920	15.2%	51	17.6%
2026	150	801	17.7%	39	17.9%

Outlook method: see the top of the Montana points explainer and our forecast method. It is a trend line, not a promise.

Notes from TagCanyon

In 2026, 801 residents listed this drawing first for a quota of 150, about 5.3 resident applicants per license.
Residents: at 0 bonus points 2% drew; at 6 points (the highest level with at least 5 applicants) 82% drew.
Nonresidents: at 0 bonus points 0% drew; at 3 points (the highest level with at least 5 applicants) 30% drew.

Deadline

Elk B, deer B, antelope and antelope B licenses: FWP's 2026 window ran Mar 1 to Jun 1, 2026 (11:45 p.m. Mountain). FWP has not posted 2027 dates yet; the June 1 deadline has held in recent years. FWP application and drawing dates.

Source: Montana Fish, Wildlife & Parks (FWP), 2026 Drawing Statistics reports (MyFWP drawing statistics, FWP application and drawing dates). Tables, outlooks and text are TagCanyon's own; FWP does not warrant or endorse them. Not affiliated with FWP. Retrieved Oct 17, 2026.