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Mule deer buck with wide antlers grazing in grass on the National Elk Refuge, Wyoming

350-01 Deer B License Draw Odds, Montana

Deer b license, district 350-01 (mule), from FWP's 2023 to 2026 drawing statistics. Jump to resident odds or nonresident odds.

Photo: U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service (USFWS Mountain Prairie), public domain. Photo credits

FactValue
DrawingDeer b license, district 350-01 (mule)
2026 total quota50
2026 nonresident cap (FWP's NR quota column)5
2026 landowner preference cap: resident / nonresident8 / 5
2026 first-choice applicants: resident / nonresident111 / 5
2026 drawn on first choice: resident / nonresident47 / 3
2026 first-choice odds: resident / nonresident42.3% / 60.0%
2026 total successful (all choices and pools)50

Resident odds by bonus point (2026 drawing)

Share of first-choice resident applicants at each bonus-point level who drew, from FWP's 2026 bonus point report. Each applicant gets one chance plus their points squared, so the draw favors high point holders without a hard cutoff. How Montana bonus points work.

Bonus pointsChances in drawing1st-choice applicantsDrawnOdds at this level
01531426.4%
12411946.3%
25131076.9%
31033100.0%
52611100.0%

Resident outlook for 2027

If first-choice demand keeps its 2023 to 2026 trend (+2 applicants a year), about 113 residents would apply in 2027; with the same number of first-choice licenses, overall first-choice odds would be about 42%. Average bonus points among first-choice applicants are trending to about 0.7 (-0.05 a year), a measure of point creep in a weighted draw. Confidence: medium.

Nonresident odds by bonus point (2026 drawing)

Share of first-choice nonresident applicants at each bonus-point level who drew, from FWP's 2026 bonus point report. Each applicant gets one chance plus their points squared, so the draw favors high point holders without a hard cutoff. How Montana bonus points work.

Bonus pointsChances in drawing1st-choice applicantsDrawnOdds at this level
124250.0%
2511100.0%

Nonresident outlook for 2027

If first-choice demand keeps its 2023 to 2026 trend (-4 applicants a year), about 1 nonresidents would apply in 2027; with the same number of first-choice licenses, overall first-choice odds would be about 100%. Average bonus points among first-choice applicants are trending to about 1.4 (+0.20 a year), a measure of point creep in a weighted draw. Confidence: low.

First-choice odds by year

First-choice draws over first-choice applicants in the regular drawing (landowner preference excluded).

Draw yearQuotaRes applicantsRes oddsNR applicantsNR odds
20235010542.9%1729.4%
20245011937.8%1822.2%
20255012336.6%1241.7%
20265011142.3%560.0%

Outlook method: see the top of the Montana points explainer and our forecast method. It is a trend line, not a promise.

Notes from TagCanyon

Deadline

Elk B, deer B, antelope and antelope B licenses: FWP's 2026 window ran Mar 1 to Jun 1, 2026 (11:45 p.m. Mountain). FWP has not posted 2027 dates yet; the June 1 deadline has held in recent years. FWP application and drawing dates.

Source: Montana Fish, Wildlife & Parks (FWP), 2026 Drawing Statistics reports (MyFWP drawing statistics, FWP application and drawing dates). Tables, outlooks and text are TagCanyon's own; FWP does not warrant or endorse them. Not affiliated with FWP. Retrieved Oct 17, 2026.