Mule deer buck with wide antlers grazing in grass on the National Elk Refuge, Wyoming

104-00 Deer B License Draw Odds, Montana

Deer b license, district 104-00 (wt), from FWP's 2023 to 2026 drawing statistics. Jump to resident odds or nonresident odds.

Photo: U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service (USFWS Mountain Prairie), public domain. Photo credits

Fact	Value
Drawing	Deer b license, district 104-00 (wt)
2026 total quota	100
2026 nonresident cap (FWP's NR quota column)	10
2026 landowner preference cap: resident / nonresident	15 / 10
2026 first-choice applicants: resident / nonresident	233 / 15
2026 drawn on first choice: resident / nonresident	92 / 6
2026 first-choice odds: resident / nonresident	39.5% / 40.0%
2026 total successful (all choices and pools)	100

Resident odds by bonus point (2026 drawing)

Share of first-choice resident applicants at each bonus-point level who drew, from FWP's 2026 bonus point report. Each applicant gets one chance plus their points squared, so the draw favors high point holders without a hard cutoff. How Montana bonus points work.

Bonus points	Chances in drawing	1st-choice applicants	Drawn	Odds at this level
0	1	71	13	18.3%
1	2	90	31	34.4%
2	5	51	30	58.8%
3	10	18	15	83.3%
4	17	3	3	100.0%

Resident outlook for 2027

If first-choice demand keeps its 2023 to 2026 trend (+9 applicants a year), about 242 residents would apply in 2027; with the same number of first-choice licenses, overall first-choice odds would be about 38%. Average bonus points among first-choice applicants are trending to about 1.2 (+0.10 a year), a measure of point creep in a weighted draw. Confidence: medium.

Landowner preference (residents, 2026): 2 first-choice applicants, 2 drawn.

Nonresident odds by bonus point (2026 drawing)

Share of first-choice nonresident applicants at each bonus-point level who drew, from FWP's 2026 bonus point report. Each applicant gets one chance plus their points squared, so the draw favors high point holders without a hard cutoff. How Montana bonus points work.

Bonus points	Chances in drawing	1st-choice applicants	Drawn	Odds at this level
0	1	6	0	0.0%
1	2	6	3	50.0%
2	5	2	2	100.0%
3	10	1	1	100.0%

Nonresident outlook for 2027

If first-choice demand keeps its 2023 to 2026 trend (+1 applicants a year), about 16 nonresidents would apply in 2027; with the same number of first-choice licenses, overall first-choice odds would be about 37%. Average bonus points among first-choice applicants are trending to about 0.6 (-0.23 a year), a measure of point creep in a weighted draw. Confidence: low.

First-choice odds by year

First-choice draws over first-choice applicants in the regular drawing (landowner preference excluded).

Draw year	Quota	Res applicants	Res odds	NR applicants	NR odds
2023	100	207	44.0%	11	63.6%
2024	100	267	34.5%	18	33.3%
2025	100	257	34.6%	15	53.3%
2026	100	233	39.5%	15	40.0%

Outlook method: see the top of the Montana points explainer and our forecast method. It is a trend line, not a promise.

Notes from TagCanyon

In 2026, 233 residents listed this drawing first for a quota of 100, about 2.3 resident applicants per license.
Residents: at 0 bonus points 18% drew; at 3 points (the highest level with at least 5 applicants) 83% drew.
Nonresidents: at 0 bonus points 0% drew; at 1 points (the highest level with at least 5 applicants) 50% drew.

Deadline

Elk B, deer B, antelope and antelope B licenses: FWP's 2026 window ran Mar 1 to Jun 1, 2026 (11:45 p.m. Mountain). FWP has not posted 2027 dates yet; the June 1 deadline has held in recent years. FWP application and drawing dates.

Source: Montana Fish, Wildlife & Parks (FWP), 2026 Drawing Statistics reports (MyFWP drawing statistics, FWP application and drawing dates). Tables, outlooks and text are TagCanyon's own; FWP does not warrant or endorse them. Not affiliated with FWP. Retrieved Oct 17, 2026.