630-20 Antelope License Draw Odds, Montana
Antelope license, district 630-20, from FWP's 2023 to 2026 drawing statistics. Jump to resident odds or nonresident odds.
Photo: U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service (USFWS Mountain-Prairie), public domain. Photo credits
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| Fact | Value |
|---|---|
| Drawing | Antelope license, district 630-20 |
| 2026 total quota | 399 |
| 2026 nonresident cap (FWP's NR quota column) | 39 |
| 2026 landowner preference cap: resident / nonresident | 60 / 39 |
| 2026 first-choice applicants: resident / nonresident | 847 / 269 |
| 2026 drawn on first choice: resident / nonresident | 347 / 37 |
| 2026 first-choice odds: resident / nonresident | 41.0% / 13.8% |
| 2026 total successful (all choices and pools) | 399 |
Resident odds by bonus point (2026 drawing)
Share of first-choice resident applicants at each bonus-point level who drew, from FWP's 2026 bonus point report. Each applicant gets one chance plus their points squared, so the draw favors high point holders without a hard cutoff. How Montana bonus points work.
| Bonus points | Chances in drawing | 1st-choice applicants | Drawn | Odds at this level |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 100 | 11 | 11.0% |
| 1 | 2 | 329 | 75 | 22.8% |
| 2 | 5 | 238 | 120 | 50.4% |
| 3 | 10 | 114 | 81 | 71.1% |
| 4 | 17 | 45 | 40 | 88.9% |
| 5 | 26 | 14 | 13 | 92.9% |
| 6 | 37 | 5 | 5 | 100.0% |
| 7 | 50 | 2 | 2 | 100.0% |
Resident outlook for 2027
If first-choice demand keeps its 2023 to 2026 trend (+84 applicants a year), about 931 residents would apply in 2027; with the same number of first-choice licenses, overall first-choice odds would be about 37%. Average bonus points among first-choice applicants are trending to about 1.8 (+0.09 a year), a measure of point creep in a weighted draw. Confidence: medium.
Landowner preference (residents, 2026): 14 first-choice applicants, 14 drawn.
Nonresident odds by bonus point (2026 drawing)
Share of first-choice nonresident applicants at each bonus-point level who drew, from FWP's 2026 bonus point report. Each applicant gets one chance plus their points squared, so the draw favors high point holders without a hard cutoff. How Montana bonus points work.
| Bonus points | Chances in drawing | 1st-choice applicants | Drawn | Odds at this level |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 18 | 0 | 0.0% |
| 1 | 2 | 81 | 2 | 2.5% |
| 2 | 5 | 48 | 4 | 8.3% |
| 3 | 10 | 38 | 6 | 15.8% |
| 4 | 17 | 37 | 9 | 24.3% |
| 5 | 26 | 11 | 2 | 18.2% |
| 6 | 37 | 20 | 8 | 40.0% |
| 7 | 50 | 11 | 2 | 18.2% |
| 8 | 65 | 3 | 2 | 66.7% |
| 10 | 101 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% |
| 12 | 145 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% |
Nonresident outlook for 2027
If first-choice demand keeps its 2023 to 2026 trend (+22 applicants a year), about 291 nonresidents would apply in 2027; with the same number of first-choice licenses, overall first-choice odds would be about 13%. Average bonus points among first-choice applicants are trending to about 3.0 (+0.22 a year), a measure of point creep in a weighted draw. Confidence: medium.
Landowner preference (nonresidents, 2026): 1 first-choice applicants, 1 drawn.
First-choice odds by year
First-choice draws over first-choice applicants in the regular drawing (landowner preference excluded).
| Draw year | Quota | Res applicants | Res odds | NR applicants | NR odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 200 | 595 | 28.7% | 204 | 8.8% |
| 2024 | 300 | 739 | 35.3% | 211 | 13.3% |
| 2025 | 300 | 784 | 32.7% | 258 | 11.2% |
| 2026 | 399 | 847 | 41.0% | 269 | 13.8% |
Outlook method: see the top of the Montana points explainer and our forecast method. It is a trend line, not a promise.
Notes from TagCanyon
- In 2026, 847 residents listed this drawing first for a quota of 399, about 2.1 resident applicants per license.
- Residents: at 0 bonus points 11% drew; at 6 points (the highest level with at least 5 applicants) 100% drew.
- Nonresidents: at 0 bonus points 0% drew; at 7 points (the highest level with at least 5 applicants) 18% drew.
Deadline
Elk B, deer B, antelope and antelope B licenses: FWP's 2026 window ran Mar 1 to Jun 1, 2026 (11:45 p.m. Mountain). FWP has not posted 2027 dates yet; the June 1 deadline has held in recent years. FWP application and drawing dates.
Source: Montana Fish, Wildlife & Parks (FWP), 2026 Drawing Statistics reports (MyFWP drawing statistics, FWP application and drawing dates). Tables, outlooks and text are TagCanyon's own; FWP does not warrant or endorse them. Not affiliated with FWP. Retrieved Oct 17, 2026.
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