576-20 Antelope License Draw Odds, Montana
Antelope license, district 576-20, from FWP's 2023 to 2026 drawing statistics. Jump to resident odds or nonresident odds.
Photo: U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service (USFWS Mountain-Prairie), public domain. Photo credits
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| Fact | Value |
|---|---|
| Drawing | Antelope license, district 576-20 |
| 2026 total quota | 1,100 |
| 2026 nonresident cap (FWP's NR quota column) | 110 |
| 2026 landowner preference cap: resident / nonresident | 165 / 110 |
| 2026 first-choice applicants: resident / nonresident | 2,545 / 282 |
| 2026 drawn on first choice: resident / nonresident | 966 / 104 |
| 2026 first-choice odds: resident / nonresident | 38.0% / 36.9% |
| 2026 total successful (all choices and pools) | 1,098 |
Resident odds by bonus point (2026 drawing)
Share of first-choice resident applicants at each bonus-point level who drew, from FWP's 2026 bonus point report. Each applicant gets one chance plus their points squared, so the draw favors high point holders without a hard cutoff. How Montana bonus points work.
| Bonus points | Chances in drawing | 1st-choice applicants | Drawn | Odds at this level |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 842 | 145 | 17.2% |
| 1 | 2 | 1,077 | 377 | 35.0% |
| 2 | 5 | 479 | 310 | 64.7% |
| 3 | 10 | 129 | 116 | 89.9% |
| 4 | 17 | 16 | 16 | 100.0% |
| 5 | 26 | 2 | 2 | 100.0% |
| 6 | 37 | 2 | 2 | 100.0% |
Resident outlook for 2027
If first-choice demand keeps its 2023 to 2026 trend (+56 applicants a year), about 2,601 residents would apply in 2027; with the same number of first-choice licenses, overall first-choice odds would be about 37%. Average bonus points among first-choice applicants are trending to about 1.1 (+0.10 a year), a measure of point creep in a weighted draw. Confidence: medium.
Landowner preference (residents, 2026): 26 first-choice applicants, 26 drawn.
Nonresident odds by bonus point (2026 drawing)
Share of first-choice nonresident applicants at each bonus-point level who drew, from FWP's 2026 bonus point report. Each applicant gets one chance plus their points squared, so the draw favors high point holders without a hard cutoff. How Montana bonus points work.
| Bonus points | Chances in drawing | 1st-choice applicants | Drawn | Odds at this level |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 39 | 0 | 0.0% |
| 1 | 2 | 138 | 41 | 29.7% |
| 2 | 5 | 64 | 30 | 46.9% |
| 3 | 10 | 29 | 21 | 72.4% |
| 4 | 17 | 9 | 9 | 100.0% |
| 5 | 26 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% |
| 7 | 50 | 2 | 2 | 100.0% |
Nonresident outlook for 2027
If first-choice demand keeps its 2023 to 2026 trend (-3 applicants a year), about 279 nonresidents would apply in 2027; with the same number of first-choice licenses, overall first-choice odds would be about 37%. Average bonus points among first-choice applicants are trending to about 1.6 (+0.14 a year), a measure of point creep in a weighted draw. Confidence: medium.
Landowner preference (nonresidents, 2026): 2 first-choice applicants, 2 drawn.
First-choice odds by year
First-choice draws over first-choice applicants in the regular drawing (landowner preference excluded).
| Draw year | Quota | Res applicants | Res odds | NR applicants | NR odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 1,400 | 2,378 | 52.7% | 291 | 43.0% |
| 2024 | 1,100 | 2,400 | 40.6% | 308 | 33.8% |
| 2025 | 1,100 | 2,312 | 42.0% | 245 | 42.0% |
| 2026 | 1,100 | 2,545 | 38.0% | 282 | 36.9% |
Outlook method: see the top of the Montana points explainer and our forecast method. It is a trend line, not a promise.
Notes from TagCanyon
- In 2026, 2,545 residents listed this drawing first for a quota of 1,100, about 2.3 resident applicants per license.
- Residents: at 0 bonus points 17% drew; at 4 points (the highest level with at least 5 applicants) 100% drew.
- Nonresidents: at 0 bonus points 0% drew; at 4 points (the highest level with at least 5 applicants) 100% drew.
Deadline
Elk B, deer B, antelope and antelope B licenses: FWP's 2026 window ran Mar 1 to Jun 1, 2026 (11:45 p.m. Mountain). FWP has not posted 2027 dates yet; the June 1 deadline has held in recent years. FWP application and drawing dates.
Source: Montana Fish, Wildlife & Parks (FWP), 2026 Drawing Statistics reports (MyFWP drawing statistics, FWP application and drawing dates). Tables, outlooks and text are TagCanyon's own; FWP does not warrant or endorse them. Not affiliated with FWP. Retrieved Oct 17, 2026.
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