Pronghorn buck standing in golden evening grass on Seedskadee National Wildlife Refuge, Wyoming

444-20 Antelope License Draw Odds, Montana

Antelope license, district 444-20, from FWP's 2023 to 2026 drawing statistics. Jump to resident odds or nonresident odds.

Photo: U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service (USFWS Mountain-Prairie), public domain. Photo credits

Fact	Value
Drawing	Antelope license, district 444-20
2026 total quota	100
2026 nonresident cap (FWP's NR quota column)	10
2026 landowner preference cap: resident / nonresident	15 / 10
2026 first-choice applicants: resident / nonresident	577 / 43
2026 drawn on first choice: resident / nonresident	84 / 4
2026 first-choice odds: resident / nonresident	14.6% / 9.3%
2026 total successful (all choices and pools)	100

Resident odds by bonus point (2026 drawing)

Share of first-choice resident applicants at each bonus-point level who drew, from FWP's 2026 bonus point report. Each applicant gets one chance plus their points squared, so the draw favors high point holders without a hard cutoff. How Montana bonus points work.

Bonus points	Chances in drawing	1st-choice applicants	Drawn	Odds at this level
0	1	100	1	1.0%
1	2	158	8	5.1%
2	5	116	17	14.7%
3	10	103	18	17.5%
4	17	65	24	36.9%
5	26	24	10	41.7%
6	37	11	6	54.5%

Resident outlook for 2027

If first-choice demand keeps its 2023 to 2026 trend (+28 applicants a year), about 605 residents would apply in 2027; with the same number of first-choice licenses, overall first-choice odds would be about 14%. Average bonus points among first-choice applicants are trending to about 2.1 (+0.14 a year), a measure of point creep in a weighted draw. Confidence: medium.

Landowner preference (residents, 2026): 12 first-choice applicants, 12 drawn.

Nonresident odds by bonus point (2026 drawing)

Share of first-choice nonresident applicants at each bonus-point level who drew, from FWP's 2026 bonus point report. Each applicant gets one chance plus their points squared, so the draw favors high point holders without a hard cutoff. How Montana bonus points work.

Bonus points	Chances in drawing	1st-choice applicants	Drawn	Odds at this level
0	1	8	0	0.0%
1	2	15	0	0.0%
2	5	11	0	0.0%
3	10	6	3	50.0%
4	17	2	0	0.0%
6	37	1	1	100.0%

Nonresident outlook for 2027

If first-choice demand keeps its 2023 to 2026 trend (+6 applicants a year), about 49 nonresidents would apply in 2027; with the same number of first-choice licenses, overall first-choice odds would be about 8%. Average bonus points among first-choice applicants are trending to about 1.6 (+0.03 a year), a measure of point creep in a weighted draw. Confidence: low.

First-choice odds by year

First-choice draws over first-choice applicants in the regular drawing (landowner preference excluded).

Draw year	Quota	Res applicants	Res odds	NR applicants	NR odds
2023	125	493	21.7%	25	40.0%
2024	125	577	19.2%	30	13.3%
2025	100	523	15.1%	29	20.7%
2026	100	577	14.6%	43	9.3%

Outlook method: see the top of the Montana points explainer and our forecast method. It is a trend line, not a promise.

Notes from TagCanyon

In 2026, 577 residents listed this drawing first for a quota of 100, about 5.8 resident applicants per license.
Residents: at 0 bonus points 1% drew; at 6 points (the highest level with at least 5 applicants) 55% drew.
Nonresidents: at 0 bonus points 0% drew; at 3 points (the highest level with at least 5 applicants) 50% drew.

Deadline

Elk B, deer B, antelope and antelope B licenses: FWP's 2026 window ran Mar 1 to Jun 1, 2026 (11:45 p.m. Mountain). FWP has not posted 2027 dates yet; the June 1 deadline has held in recent years. FWP application and drawing dates.

Source: Montana Fish, Wildlife & Parks (FWP), 2026 Drawing Statistics reports (MyFWP drawing statistics, FWP application and drawing dates). Tables, outlooks and text are TagCanyon's own; FWP does not warrant or endorse them. Not affiliated with FWP. Retrieved Oct 17, 2026.