Pronghorn buck standing in golden evening grass on Seedskadee National Wildlife Refuge, Wyoming

440-20 Antelope License Draw Odds, Montana

Antelope license, district 440-20, from FWP's 2023 to 2026 drawing statistics. Jump to resident odds or nonresident odds.

Photo: U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service (USFWS Mountain-Prairie), public domain. Photo credits

Fact	Value
Drawing	Antelope license, district 440-20
2026 total quota	125
2026 nonresident cap (FWP's NR quota column)	12
2026 landowner preference cap: resident / nonresident	19 / 12
2026 first-choice applicants: resident / nonresident	518 / 24
2026 drawn on first choice: resident / nonresident	108 / 5
2026 first-choice odds: resident / nonresident	20.8% / 20.8%
2026 total successful (all choices and pools)	125

Resident odds by bonus point (2026 drawing)

Share of first-choice resident applicants at each bonus-point level who drew, from FWP's 2026 bonus point report. Each applicant gets one chance plus their points squared, so the draw favors high point holders without a hard cutoff. How Montana bonus points work.

Bonus points	Chances in drawing	1st-choice applicants	Drawn	Odds at this level
0	1	104	5	4.8%
1	2	161	29	18.0%
2	5	126	28	22.2%
3	10	72	20	27.8%
4	17	35	17	48.6%
5	26	15	6	40.0%
6	37	4	3	75.0%
7	50	1	0	0.0%

Resident outlook for 2027

If first-choice demand keeps its 2023 to 2026 trend (+42 applicants a year), about 560 residents would apply in 2027; with the same number of first-choice licenses, overall first-choice odds would be about 19%. Average bonus points among first-choice applicants are trending to about 1.7 (+0.04 a year), a measure of point creep in a weighted draw. Confidence: medium.

Landowner preference (residents, 2026): 11 first-choice applicants, 11 drawn.

Nonresident odds by bonus point (2026 drawing)

Share of first-choice nonresident applicants at each bonus-point level who drew, from FWP's 2026 bonus point report. Each applicant gets one chance plus their points squared, so the draw favors high point holders without a hard cutoff. How Montana bonus points work.

Bonus points	Chances in drawing	1st-choice applicants	Drawn	Odds at this level
0	1	2	0	0.0%
1	2	11	0	0.0%
2	5	4	2	50.0%
3	10	2	0	0.0%
5	26	1	0	0.0%
6	37	3	2	66.7%
10	101	1	1	100.0%

Nonresident outlook for 2027

If first-choice demand keeps its 2023 to 2026 trend (+1 applicants a year), about 25 nonresidents would apply in 2027; with the same number of first-choice licenses, overall first-choice odds would be about 20%. Average bonus points among first-choice applicants are trending to about 2.7 (+0.28 a year), a measure of point creep in a weighted draw. Confidence: medium.

Landowner preference (nonresidents, 2026): 1 first-choice applicants, 1 drawn.

First-choice odds by year

First-choice draws over first-choice applicants in the regular drawing (landowner preference excluded).

Draw year	Quota	Res applicants	Res odds	NR applicants	NR odds
2023	100	392	21.2%	21	14.3%
2024	125	434	25.1%	21	28.6%
2025	125	476	22.9%	27	22.2%
2026	125	518	20.8%	24	20.8%

Outlook method: see the top of the Montana points explainer and our forecast method. It is a trend line, not a promise.

Notes from TagCanyon

In 2026, 518 residents listed this drawing first for a quota of 125, about 4.1 resident applicants per license.
Residents: at 0 bonus points 5% drew; at 5 points (the highest level with at least 5 applicants) 40% drew.

Deadline

Elk B, deer B, antelope and antelope B licenses: FWP's 2026 window ran Mar 1 to Jun 1, 2026 (11:45 p.m. Mountain). FWP has not posted 2027 dates yet; the June 1 deadline has held in recent years. FWP application and drawing dates.

Source: Montana Fish, Wildlife & Parks (FWP), 2026 Drawing Statistics reports (MyFWP drawing statistics, FWP application and drawing dates). Tables, outlooks and text are TagCanyon's own; FWP does not warrant or endorse them. Not affiliated with FWP. Retrieved Oct 17, 2026.