322-20 Antelope License Draw Odds, Montana
Antelope license, district 322-20, from FWP's 2023 to 2026 drawing statistics. Jump to resident odds or nonresident odds.
Photo: U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service (USFWS Mountain-Prairie), public domain. Photo credits
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| Fact | Value |
|---|---|
| Drawing | Antelope license, district 322-20 |
| 2026 total quota | 600 |
| 2026 nonresident cap (FWP's NR quota column) | 60 |
| 2026 landowner preference cap: resident / nonresident | 90 / 60 |
| 2026 first-choice applicants: resident / nonresident | 3,512 / 491 |
| 2026 drawn on first choice: resident / nonresident | 529 / 54 |
| 2026 first-choice odds: resident / nonresident | 15.1% / 11.0% |
| 2026 total successful (all choices and pools) | 597 |
Resident odds by bonus point (2026 drawing)
Share of first-choice resident applicants at each bonus-point level who drew, from FWP's 2026 bonus point report. Each applicant gets one chance plus their points squared, so the draw favors high point holders without a hard cutoff. How Montana bonus points work.
| Bonus points | Chances in drawing | 1st-choice applicants | Drawn | Odds at this level |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 501 | 17 | 3.4% |
| 1 | 2 | 867 | 46 | 5.3% |
| 2 | 5 | 611 | 59 | 9.7% |
| 3 | 10 | 532 | 95 | 17.9% |
| 4 | 17 | 516 | 116 | 22.5% |
| 5 | 26 | 274 | 96 | 35.0% |
| 6 | 37 | 134 | 58 | 43.3% |
| 7 | 50 | 48 | 24 | 50.0% |
| 8 | 65 | 25 | 18 | 72.0% |
| 9 | 82 | 3 | 2 | 66.7% |
| 10 | 101 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% |
| 11 | 122 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% |
Resident outlook for 2027
If first-choice demand keeps its 2023 to 2026 trend (-18 applicants a year), about 3,494 residents would apply in 2027; with the same number of first-choice licenses, overall first-choice odds would be about 15%. Average bonus points among first-choice applicants are trending to about 2.7 (+0.26 a year), a measure of point creep in a weighted draw. Confidence: medium.
Landowner preference (residents, 2026): 10 first-choice applicants, 10 drawn.
Nonresident odds by bonus point (2026 drawing)
Share of first-choice nonresident applicants at each bonus-point level who drew, from FWP's 2026 bonus point report. Each applicant gets one chance plus their points squared, so the draw favors high point holders without a hard cutoff. How Montana bonus points work.
| Bonus points | Chances in drawing | 1st-choice applicants | Drawn | Odds at this level |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 52 | 2 | 3.8% |
| 1 | 2 | 79 | 4 | 5.1% |
| 2 | 5 | 95 | 3 | 3.2% |
| 3 | 10 | 56 | 9 | 16.1% |
| 4 | 17 | 69 | 3 | 4.3% |
| 5 | 26 | 66 | 10 | 15.2% |
| 6 | 37 | 41 | 10 | 24.4% |
| 7 | 50 | 19 | 6 | 31.6% |
| 8 | 65 | 6 | 4 | 66.7% |
| 9 | 82 | 6 | 3 | 50.0% |
| 10 | 101 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% |
| 11 | 122 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% |
| 12 | 145 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% |
Nonresident outlook for 2027
If first-choice demand keeps its 2023 to 2026 trend (-33 applicants a year), about 458 nonresidents would apply in 2027; with the same number of first-choice licenses, overall first-choice odds would be about 12%. Average bonus points among first-choice applicants are trending to about 3.6 (+0.39 a year), a measure of point creep in a weighted draw. Confidence: medium.
Landowner preference (nonresidents, 2026): 4 first-choice applicants, 4 drawn.
First-choice odds by year
First-choice draws over first-choice applicants in the regular drawing (landowner preference excluded).
| Draw year | Quota | Res applicants | Res odds | NR applicants | NR odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 300 | 3,567 | 7.2% | 590 | 4.4% |
| 2024 | 300 | 3,208 | 8.0% | 511 | 5.3% |
| 2025 | 300 | 3,236 | 8.0% | 529 | 5.1% |
| 2026 | 600 | 3,512 | 15.1% | 491 | 11.0% |
Outlook method: see the top of the Montana points explainer and our forecast method. It is a trend line, not a promise.
Notes from TagCanyon
- In 2026, 3,512 residents listed this drawing first for a quota of 600, about 5.9 resident applicants per license.
- Residents: at 0 bonus points 3% drew; at 8 points (the highest level with at least 5 applicants) 72% drew.
- Nonresidents: at 0 bonus points 4% drew; at 9 points (the highest level with at least 5 applicants) 50% drew.
Deadline
Elk B, deer B, antelope and antelope B licenses: FWP's 2026 window ran Mar 1 to Jun 1, 2026 (11:45 p.m. Mountain). FWP has not posted 2027 dates yet; the June 1 deadline has held in recent years. FWP application and drawing dates.
Source: Montana Fish, Wildlife & Parks (FWP), 2026 Drawing Statistics reports (MyFWP drawing statistics, FWP application and drawing dates). Tables, outlooks and text are TagCanyon's own; FWP does not warrant or endorse them. Not affiliated with FWP. Retrieved Oct 17, 2026.
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