007-30 Antelope B License Draw Odds, Montana
Antelope b license, district 007-30, from FWP's 2023 to 2026 drawing statistics. Jump to resident odds or nonresident odds.
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| Fact | Value |
|---|---|
| Drawing | Antelope b license, district 007-30 |
| 2026 total quota | 2,000 |
| 2026 nonresident cap (FWP's NR quota column) | 200 |
| 2026 landowner preference cap: resident / nonresident | 300 / 200 |
| 2026 first-choice applicants: resident / nonresident | 2,705 / 285 |
| 2026 drawn on first choice: resident / nonresident | 1,802 / 181 |
| 2026 first-choice odds: resident / nonresident | 66.6% / 63.5% |
| 2026 total successful (all choices and pools) | 2,000 |
Resident odds by bonus point (2026 drawing)
Share of first-choice resident applicants at each bonus-point level who drew, from FWP's 2026 bonus point report. Each applicant gets one chance plus their points squared, so the draw favors high point holders without a hard cutoff. How Montana bonus points work.
| Bonus points | Chances in drawing | 1st-choice applicants | Drawn | Odds at this level |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 724 | 258 | 35.6% |
| 1 | 2 | 1,021 | 649 | 63.6% |
| 2 | 5 | 555 | 494 | 89.0% |
| 3 | 10 | 236 | 232 | 98.3% |
| 4 | 17 | 95 | 95 | 100.0% |
| 5 | 26 | 49 | 49 | 100.0% |
| 6 | 37 | 19 | 19 | 100.0% |
| 7 | 50 | 3 | 3 | 100.0% |
| 8 | 65 | 3 | 3 | 100.0% |
Resident outlook for 2027
If first-choice demand keeps its 2023 to 2026 trend (-427 applicants a year), about 2,278 residents would apply in 2027; with the same number of first-choice licenses, overall first-choice odds would be about 79%. Average bonus points among first-choice applicants are trending to about 1.3 (-0.05 a year), a measure of point creep in a weighted draw. Confidence: low.
Landowner preference (residents, 2026): 16 first-choice applicants, 16 drawn.
Nonresident odds by bonus point (2026 drawing)
Share of first-choice nonresident applicants at each bonus-point level who drew, from FWP's 2026 bonus point report. Each applicant gets one chance plus their points squared, so the draw favors high point holders without a hard cutoff. How Montana bonus points work.
| Bonus points | Chances in drawing | 1st-choice applicants | Drawn | Odds at this level |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 64 | 25 | 39.1% |
| 1 | 2 | 106 | 50 | 47.2% |
| 2 | 5 | 60 | 53 | 88.3% |
| 3 | 10 | 28 | 26 | 92.9% |
| 4 | 17 | 19 | 19 | 100.0% |
| 5 | 26 | 5 | 5 | 100.0% |
| 6 | 37 | 3 | 3 | 100.0% |
Nonresident outlook for 2027
If first-choice demand keeps its 2023 to 2026 trend (-47 applicants a year), about 238 nonresidents would apply in 2027; with the same number of first-choice licenses, overall first-choice odds would be about 76%. Average bonus points among first-choice applicants are trending to about 1.6 (+0.05 a year), a measure of point creep in a weighted draw. Confidence: low.
Landowner preference (nonresidents, 2026): 1 first-choice applicants, 1 drawn.
First-choice odds by year
First-choice draws over first-choice applicants in the regular drawing (landowner preference excluded).
| Draw year | Quota | Res applicants | Res odds | NR applicants | NR odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 150 | 3,986 | 2.9% | 427 | 2.3% |
| 2024 | 750 | 2,553 | 26.8% | 239 | 21.3% |
| 2025 | 1,000 | 2,699 | 33.3% | 256 | 30.1% |
| 2026 | 2,000 | 2,705 | 66.6% | 285 | 63.5% |
Outlook method: see the top of the Montana points explainer and our forecast method. It is a trend line, not a promise.
Notes from TagCanyon
- In 2026, 2,705 residents listed this drawing first for a quota of 2,000, about 1.4 resident applicants per license.
- Residents: at 0 bonus points 36% drew; at 6 points (the highest level with at least 5 applicants) 100% drew.
- Nonresidents: at 0 bonus points 39% drew; at 5 points (the highest level with at least 5 applicants) 100% drew.
Deadline
Elk B, deer B, antelope and antelope B licenses: FWP's 2026 window ran Mar 1 to Jun 1, 2026 (11:45 p.m. Mountain). FWP has not posted 2027 dates yet; the June 1 deadline has held in recent years. FWP application and drawing dates.
Source: Montana Fish, Wildlife & Parks (FWP), 2026 Drawing Statistics reports (MyFWP drawing statistics, FWP application and drawing dates). Tables, outlooks and text are TagCanyon's own; FWP does not warrant or endorse them. Not affiliated with FWP. Retrieved Oct 17, 2026.
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